Three Weeks Left, Guards Are Still Hanging In

Recently, we have taken to calling the Cleveland Guardians zombies because seemingly they will not die. This is a team that suffered through a 9-16 month of June, and a 10 game losing streak that spanned from June 26th through July 6th.

From August 15th to August 23rd, they lost nine out of ten games and fell six game behind Seattle for the last wild card spot in the American League.

They have the second worst offense in the AL, ahead of only Kansas City and while the pitching staff currently ranks 6th in the league in ERA, that is largely due to a current seven game stretch where they’ve allowed just 11 runs.

According to WAR (at least the BaseballReference.com version), they are the worst team in the league, and have the worst non-pitchers, including ranking 15th at centerfield, rightfield, and pinch-hitters, and second from the bottom for the entire outfield.

We have noted in the past that their projected win-loss record based on runs scored and runs allowed is 68-76, so they have outperformed that by six games. The standard deviation is four games, so yes, luck has been a big part of this.

Yet, here they are, just 3.5 games away from the last playoff spot in the Junior Circuit, with 17 games to play. You can pooh-pooh the team’s record all you want, but if you don’t get into the tournament, you don’t have a chance, and Steven Vogt has his team playing for a shot to get in it.

For all of the complaining we fans do about the lineup, platooning, and relief pitcher usage, yes, we are talking about Matt Festa, you have to tip your cap to the skipper for having this group playing meaningful baseball in September.

Maybe it comes from the success in 2022 and 2024, maybe it comes from Jose Ramirez, but this group believes it can overcome things. They are resilient if nothing else.

They’ve overcome the loss of two pitchers, one of them Emmanuel Clase, perhaps the best closer in the game to a paid leave of absence as Major League Baseball investigates a gambling issue involving him and a starting pitcher in Luis Ortiz.

Yet, here they are, right in the thick of it.

All of that said, the Guardians can’t have anymore lulls now. They need to continue to win, pretty much on a nightly basis. They have 17 games remaining and even though they’ve won their last five contests, they are going to have to continue that hot streak and finish something like 14-3.

They do not have the tiebreaker against Seattle, losing four of six, and would have to sweep the Rangers in the season ending series to even things up with Texas, so they would benefit from both teams passing Houston, who the Guards took four of six from this year.

We understand for younger fans, who grew up in the Jacobs/Progressive Field era, being in contention at this time of the year is old hat, but it shouldn’t be taken for granted. Older fans, who experienced the 60’s, 70’s, and 80’s know it wasn’t always this way.

Hopefully, the front office won’t look at what has happened this year and think it will always be like this. We will get to this after the season, but this team needs help going forward and they can’t just depend on the farm system.

Leave a comment