One of our sports beliefs is that there is a fine line between patience and stubbornness. We also understand front offices of professional sports teams have to error on the side of the latter. Fans want players replace after they have two poor weeks. Front offices have to make sure before cutting ties with a player.
And players who have put up with good numbers for a long time deserve and get a longer leash. For example, Jose Ramirez hasn’t had a good season, although his OPS is still over league average. And even though he is now 33, you have to think he will get to being the player he has always been, with maybe a bit of a regression to age.
We are trying to ascertain how the Cleveland Guardians approach this process and make no doubt we believe they skirt the line of stubbornness. We ask this because of the recent move to cut bait on Juan Brito and earlier this year with George Valera.
The question comes because both players seem to have had patient approaches while hitting. In AAA, Brito fanned 192 times and drew 163 walks in 1151 plate appearances. Valera’s ratio wasn’t as good, but he still walked 164 times in over 1200 plate appearances at the AAA level.
Let’s take a look at Daniel Schneemann. He got off to a great start, putting up a 955 OPS in April. However, in May he struggled going 11 for 74 (417 OPS). Steven Vogt and the organization gave him 63 more plate appearances in June, and the results were much the same (11 for 63, 498 OPS).
We are talking about someone with a career 632 OPS, so it’s not like he has a long track record of success. Despite that, Schneemann got 40 more at bats in July, producing just five hits and a 362 OPS. At some point, perhaps in the middle of June, someone should have said even though he’s a great defensive player, maybe we shouldn’t be giving him semi-regular at bats?
Look at the way the team uses Rhys Hoskins. He is used mostly as a platoon bat against southpaws. Over his career, he’s been great against them, compiling an 855 OPS. This season, in 113 PA, he’s batting .143. Now 33, you have to wonder if he’s about done. On the other hand, as a veteran, he should get more of the benefit of the doubt.
The unfortunate thing with Hoskins is the Guardians keep hitting him in the middle of the lineup against lefties, and as we said, the .143 average doesn’t help. If we were a fading veteran, we’d sign with the Guardians and be a leader in the clubhouse. We’d get every benefit of the doubt.
Look at how long it took to make a decision on Gabriel Arias, he of the career 635 OPS. Let us remind you, the average OPS hovers around 710 most seasons, so you can see, Arias is a below average bat.
Yet, he now has almost 1200 plate appearances in the bigs and has fanned in over 1/3rd of those times at the dish, and hardly ever draws a walk, meaning he makes an out 72.5% of the times he goes to the plate.
He is what is known as “toolsy”. He has a cannon for an arm and occasionally can hit the ball a long way. However, he is wildly inconsistent and doesn’t seem to have a good feel for the game. Despite his pop, he has never had a slugging percentage over .400.
All of these weaknesses have been on display for at least three years, but it took this long for the Guardians to cut bait.
Meanwhile, a guy like Brito, a switch-hitter gets 56 at bats and is cut loose. We understand Brito is borderline terrible with a glove but deserved more of a chance in the majors in our opinion.
It will be interesting to see if the Guardians’ impatience with him is merited.