In today’s edition of The Plain Dealer, the great Terry Pluto spoke with Guardians’ farm director, Matt Forman, about the hitting in the minor leagues. Keep in mind, the Guardians rank near the bottom in the big leagues in runs scored. str
Also, in the last week or so, Baseball America came out with its revised Top 30 prospects for each organization. Of the players featured in the article, Jaison Chourio was rated the highest (#3), while Dean Curley (#8) and Jace LaViolette (#10) were also in the Guardians’ current Top 10 minor leaguers.
If you visit this site often, you know we believe the one of the most important indicators of success in the big leagues is strikeout to walk ratio, because in our opinion, hitters have a better chance if they can discern the difference between a ball and a strike.
Last night, Chase DeLauter knocked in the Guards’ first run in the nightcap after falling down in the count 0-2, and fighting off some tough pitches, taking some borderline one, and getting a 3-2 pitch which he (luckily, according to Chris Gimenez) pulled in the hole.
Cleveland’s #1 prospect is 1B/OF Ralphy Velazquez, currently hitting .269 (773 OPS) at Columbus after starting the year in Akron. The left-handed hitter has a 70:39 ratio this year, not bad, but something to watch, at AAA, that ratio is 39:17. Not awful. And the most he has fanned in any minor league season is 104. That’s pretty good contact.
The #2 prospect is SS Angel Genao, a 22-year-old switch-hitter, who the organization will have to get creative with, seeing the keystone at the big league level seems to be in good hands with Brayan Rocchio and Travis Bazzana.
He’s hitting .299 between Akron and Columbus and has drawn 51 walks vs. 55 whiffs. We wonder if he’s the big trade chip or if the Guardians ultimately move Bazzana to the outfield.
Remember, pitching doesn’t get easier as you move up the ladder in the minors and ultimately to the major leagues.
And that’s why we are watching the progress of Chourio, a 21-year-old, switch-hitting outfielder, whose brother Jackson plays for the Brewers. This season, he has struck out 60 times in 315 plate appearances and has drawn 46 walks with 26 extra base hits.
In his minor league career, his K/BB ratio is pretty much even (290/286). He has a .410 on base percentage to date, and we think as he gets older and matures, the power will arrive.
Another player we are keeping an eye on is 18-year-old (soon to be 19) OF Juneiker Caceres, who was just promoted to Lake County. A left-handed hitter, he walked more than he struck out at low A (31 walks, 23 Ks) and batted .320 with a 956 OPS. Again, he’s just 19, and just moved up to high A, but he definitely bears watching to see how he adjusts to better pitching.
Curley is a 22-year-old infielder who has pop, but a good eye. When we are accused of hating strikeouts, we always respond that strikeouts aren’t terrible if the hitter also walks a lot, like Jim Thome. That’s Curley. He has fanned in 92 of his 329 plate appearances this season, but he’s also walked 82 times, giving him a .454 on base percentage.
He was just promoted to AA Akron, so again, watch if that ratio can maintain moving up a level.
We aren’t sure about LaViolette, the Guardians’ first pick in last year’s amateur draft. He certainly has power, 30 extra base hits in 327 plate appearances, but has fanned a whopping 119 times vs. 39 walks. Let us remind you again, the pitching doesn’t get easier as you move up in the minors.
If he can’t harness the strike zone, we don’t see him ever being an impact player in the bigs.
Cooper Ingle is the #6 prospect, and we didn’t talk about him since we’ve discussed him earlier, and we still think he can help the big club.
On the other hand, none of these guys can help until the front office makes some decisions with some of the marginal players currently on the roster.