Does Making Contact Lead To Winning?

In the new age of baseball, striking out does not have the negative connotation it once had.

For years, the single season record for striking out in a season was 189 by Bobby Bonds in 1970.  That mark stood for 34 years, until Adam Dunn whiffed 195 times in 2004.

Dunn’s record stood for three seasons, when Philadelphia’s Ryan Howard fanned 199 times in 2007, and the next year Mark Reynolds went down swinging in 204 of his at bats.

The following year, 2009, Reynolds struck out 223 times which is the current record, although the White Sox’ Yoan Moncada could threaten that mark this season, currently sitting at 181 punch outs.

Last week, when the Indians took on the Red Sox, it was noted on one of the broadcasts that the Tribe strikes out less than anyone in the American League, and Boston ranks 4th in that category.

So, does making contact lead to winning baseball and scoring more runs?

In the AL, of the six teams contending for the five playoff spots available, the top four in making contact are among those squads.  In order they are Cleveland (950 strikeouts), Houston (989), Seattle (997), and Boston (1013).

The other two teams, New York ranks 4th from the bottom and Oakland is 6th worst in making contact.

Boston (1st), Cleveland (3rd), and Houston (4th) are among the leaders in the AL in scoring runs.  Seattle is 11th.

The Yankees and A’s lead the league in home runs, which coincides with an all or nothing approach, although the Indians are 3rd, and the Red Sox and Astros are in the top half of the Junior Circuit.

In the National League, Pittsburgh is best at making contact, but they are followed by Atlanta (leading the East), Washington (a game under .500), Chicago (leading the Central) and St. Louis (leading the Wild Card).

Playoff contenders Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Arizona, and Los Angeles are among the teams who strikeout the most, which is something to watch down the stretch.

Of the teams avoiding the “K”, the Cubs, Braves, Nationals, and Cardinals are in the top six in the NL in runs scored.

The Dodgers and Brewers lead the NL in homers, and the Phillies are 6th with their contact is secondary approach, but St. Louis is 3rd and Washington is 5th in long balls.

If you watch the Dodgers at all, you notice right away that a number of their players swing for the downs a lot.

Perhaps if a team that is more contact oriented succeeds in the playoffs again, we will start to see teams look for hitters that put the ball in play.

The Indians’ drafted players with an emphasis on a contact approach in last June’s draft.  They used Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez, two guys who developed their power a few years after beginning their professional careers, as examples.

They seem to be searching for players who have a natural ability to make contact, and then teach them how to drive the ball.  Apparently, they believe it is easier to do that than teach a guy with a high strikeout rate to make contact.

It will be interesting to watch the fates of the clubs like the Yankees, A’s, Dodgers, Brewers, and Phillies as baseball heads into the last month of the season.

If they fail in the post-season, will it signal a shift back to hitters who put the ball in play over time?  It might be a good sign for the sport going forward.

MW