Guardians Should Add Another Division Title

It’s finally here. If you are a baseball fan, it’s what you looked forward to since the last out of the World Series. You knew it was getting closer when spring training started, but now it’s here.

Opening Day!

When we were younger, the start of a new season held hope for a Cleveland Indians’ fan in the 60’s, 70’s, and 80’s. We thought maybe this year we would catch lightning in a bottle and could get to the World Series.

Of course, that was a young, foolish thought. It wasn’t until 1995 that it happened, and really, despite our criticism at times of the team, they’ve been good more often than not since then.

We think the Guardians will win the AL Central this season, and perhaps last season’s surprising campaign can be the jumping off point for another run of post-season appearances. It’s a very young roster with a very strong farm system.

Besides the catching spot, currently being held by veterans until prospect Bo Naylor is ready, which should happen sometime this summer, the oldest Guardians are perennial MVP Jose Ramirez and newcomer Josh Bell.

Ramirez is simply one of the best players in baseball, and probably the most underrated. Recently, ESPN (yeah, we know) ranked him as the 13th best player in the game, which is ridiculous. There simply aren’t 12 baseball players right now better than Jose Ramirez.

In the last six seasons, he has finished in the top four in the MVP balloting four times and finished sixth in another year. 13th? It shows how little the people who cover baseball at the four letter network know about the game.

If Bell has an average season for him, say 25 HR and 90 RBI, it will lend some thump to a lineup that ranked 14th in the AL in homers last season. Although the Cleveland lineup did a great job producing runs considering the lack of power (6th in the AL in runs), having the ability to put a tally on the board with one swing of the bat helps.

The players to watch are Andres Gimenez and Steven Kwan. Can they improve on last year’s numbers? They are 24 and 26 respectively, so they should still be on the upward path of their careers. If they do, they will put up special numbers.

A baseball mantra is a team can’t have enough pitching, and this has been the pillar of the Cleveland organization over the past 10 years. They’ve had three Cy Young Award winners, and one of them, Shane Bieber remains the staff ace.

Triston McKenzie’s injury puts a bit of a damper on the rotation, but if Aaron Civale can stay healthy, that’s a plus. The biggest question mark has to be Zach Plesac, who hasn’t been effective over the last two seasons.

By the middle of the year, hurlers like Gavin Williams (5-4, 1.96 ERA at AA and A) and Tanner Bibee (8-2, 2.17 ERA at AA and A) could be ready to take his spot.

We are particularly bullish on Williams, who has the profile of a workhorse ace at 6’6″ and 255 pounds. He fanned 149 batters in 115 innings last season. Bibee is no slouch in that regard, whiffing 167 hitters in 133 frames.

The bullpen is the most volatile part of any baseball team, but when the back of the ‘pen is anchored by Emmanuel Clase, that’s a reason to feel somewhat comfortable. Over the past two years, Clase has a 1.33 ERA and has allowed only five home runs in 148 appearances. He’s also only walked 26.

We never take for granted a winning baseball team in Cleveland. After 30 years of hoping to find a winning season, this is rather fun.

Why Guards Aren’t Dealing Prospects

The Cleveland Guardians won the American League Central Division title last season, winning 92 games. The Cleveland Guardians also have one of the top five farm systems in baseball. Outside of trading Nolan Jones, who probably was no longer one of the system’s top ten prospects, and moving Owen Miller, who spent the entire season on the big-league roster, the Guards haven’t addressed the seeming glut of prospects about to hit Cleveland. It seems that many teams when in the situation the Guardians are in, like to package a number of prospects to get proven big-league talent. Think about what San Diego has done over the past few years. Unfortunately for the Padres, their excessive prospects are having success, but here in Cleveland. Let’s examine the top five prospects in the Guards’ system: pitchers Daniel Espino and Gavin Williams, catcher Bo Naylor, OF George Valera, and SS Brayan Rocchio. Espino, a right-hander and Cleveland’s first round pick in 2019, was injured much of last season throwing only 19 innings, albeit dominating one, fanning 35 hitters. Williams, another righty and also a first rounder in 2021, appears to be the definition of a horse at 6’6″ and 240 pounds. He pitched 115 innings at Lake County and Akron, with a 1.96 ERA and 149 punchouts. Now, the big-league situation comes into play. Shane Bieber, the ace of the staff, is scheduled to be a free agent after the 2024 season. After winning the division, the Guardians aren’t trading him this off-season, but with the dollars spent this winter, it isn’t a reach to see Bieber being moved next winter. It would seem Espino and Williams would be ready then. If Bieber agreed to an extension with the Guardians, maybe the front office would entertain a deal for their top two prospects. We wouldn’t unless the return was substantial. We would be surprised if Naylor opened the season on the big club, but we won’t be shocked if he’s getting regular playing time by the beginning of June. He is the catcher of the future. We feel the same about Rocchio being the shortstop of the future, the heir apparent to Amed Rosario. We believe the organization likes him better than Gabriel Arias or Tyler Freeman, who will likely battle in spring to see who is the reserve infielder. We have been hearing about Valera for years. A left-handed hitter, he has plus power, and has always shown patience at the plate. However, in 2021 between Lake County and Akron, he fanned 88 times with 66 walks. In ’22, with more at bats between Akron and Columbus, he whiffed 145 times with 74 walks. Not bad, but the ratio is much worse. That would make him the most likely candidate to be moved in a trade for big-league talent. The front office is gambling he will make adjustments and take some of the swing-and-miss out of his game, because if the ratio gets worse, so will his ranking as a prospect. Prospects #6 through #10 are: Pitchers Logan Allen and Tanner Bibee, SS Angel Martinez, OF Chase DeLauter, and OF Will Brennan. It’s more likely the Guards would trade someone from this list, but DeLauter hasn’t even played a professional game yet, and Brennan would seem to be insurance for the big club in the outfield. We are firmly NOT in the mindset that all prospects will turn out to be the next Mike Trout. We are just trying to explain what we think is the front office’s reasoning for not packaging a couple of these guys. How many players on the division winners have proven track records? It’s fewer than you think. Perhaps that’s why no deals as of yet.

Great Year For Guards, But Can’t Stand Pat For ’23

What a remarkable, unexpected season for the Cleveland Guardians. We figured a slightly above .500 season coming into the year, but Terry Francona’s young squad won the Central Division title and advanced to the Division Series by beating Tampa Bay.

Cleveland baseball fans fell in love with this team, the youngest squad in baseball, and we are sure there will be many fans who will want to bring everyone back next year. They were a very likeable team.

However, executives have to think with their heads and not their hearts, and to us, standing pat with this current roster would be the absolute wrong move. Francona himself said the organization needed to build on the success of this group.

We think the catching position has to be upgraded, and we understand the organization values defense and handling the pitching staff above anything else at the position. Austin Hedges is a team leader, and we expect him to be back next year, but it would not be a shock if he shares time with Bo Naylor.

Naylor, a left-handed hitter, batted .263 with an 889 OPS between AA and AAA this season. He belted 21 homers and although he does have some swing and miss in his game (128 K’s), he also takes walks, getting 82 bases on balls.

Hedges does need to be better with a bat in his hands though. His career average is down to .189 (578 OPS). He did hit 43 home runs in a three-year span in San Diego, but with Cleveland has hit just 17 in two seasons.

The Guardians could also use an upgrade at 1B/OF/DH, preferably with a right-handed bat, so Josh Naylor doesn’t have to be exposed to tough southpaws. The Guards simply have to have a better option than Owen Miller at first when Naylor needs a day off.

Really, the team needs to fill the DH role with someone who is capable of playing defensively or get a first baseman and let Naylor be the primary designated hitter.

Even though the Guardians were sixth in the AL in runs scored, the bats struggled in the playoffs, as Cleveland scored just 17 runs in the seven games. They need more power (14th in homers) and although we loved the contact approach, the Guards need to walk more, they ranked just 11th in that category.

It’s easier to mix in a walk rather than have to get three or four hits in a row.

We would also like to see another starting pitcher added to the rotation. Shane Bieber and Triston McKenzie are good at the top, and Cal Quantrill is solid, but it might be better if he was the #4 guy, and you had another starter who could strike batters out.

Hopefully, Aaron Civale is healthy and can contribute closer to his 2021 season next year, but it’s two straight years with injury issues for him. And Zach Plesac has the same problem, although his are self-inflicted.

It would also buy another year of development for Gavin Williams, Daniel Espino, Tanner Bibee, Cody Morris, Hunter Gaddis, and Xzavion Curry. The first two or three could be ready to help next season, but you wouldn’t have to depend on that.

With all of the young players the organization used this year, you have to remember there is no track record for some of these guys. There could be drastic dips in performances for some, and big jumps in statistics for others.

The front office should be prepared for that.

It will also be interesting to see what the management does with the farm system and the stacking up of prospects at certain positions.

The future looks bright as Francona pointed out after Tuesday’s game. That makes this winter very interesting for Cleveland baseball fans.

Memories Made By Ramirez, Oscar, and Hentges

Even though it has been just two years since Cleveland experienced post-season baseball, the memory of how special it is fading a bit until it comes back again.

The Guardians played two classic pitcher’s duel against Tampa Bay and won both, eliminating the Rays and sending Terry Francona’s squad to New York to play the Yankees in the AL Division Series, a best-of-five affair beginning Tuesday night.

The entire series, yes series, had a total of four runs. That’s how good the pitching in the series was, although you could argue neither team possesses a great lineup. Shane Bieber gave his team 7-2/3 frames, allowing just one run in game one, and Triston McKenzie fired six shutout innings in game two.

And in yesterday’s 15 inning marathon, the bullpen. led by lefty Sam Hentges, kept the Rays off the scoreboard for nine innings.

To be sure, it was nerve-wracking, blood pressure rising baseball, and although some fans probably longed for the “ghost runner” on second base in the extra innings Saturday, for us it was tension filled baseball, and we don’t think anyone who was there or was watching at home failed to be on the edge of their seats.

Offensively, a team that finished 14th in the American League in home runs this season, scored via the long ball. The great Jose Ramirez, and we don’t throw the word “great” around all that often, displayed his many skills in the pair of games.

First, his home run, his second career playoff dinger (the first game in game 5 of the 2016 World Series), answered a Tampa blast in the top of the sixth inning of the first game, giving Cleveland a 2-1 lead, it would never relinquish.

Then, in game 2, he made a defensive play in the 12th, ranging into foul territory to throw out Manuel Margot with runners on first and third.

Bieber said it best Friday, saying Ramirez was “inevitable”.

And then you have Oscar Gonzalez, someone who wasn’t even on the 40-man roster to start the year. We always view a player’s strikeout to walk ratio and an indicator of long-term success at the big-league level. Gonzalez doesn’t have a good one, he almost never walked in the minor leagues.

But he also hit .280 in the minor leagues, striking out about five times more than he walked in his career. That intrigued us. Sometimes, players have the ability to just get the barrel of the bat to the ball.

And then you have Hentges, who probably was forced to the big leagues earlier than expected last season with all the pitching injuries. He started 12 games and had a 6.68 ERA. In September 2021, he was used exclusively out of the bullpen, making nine appearances, and only allowing runs in two of them.

This season, he pitched 57 times, with a 2.32 ERA, striking out 72 hitters in 62 innings. He fanned six in three innings yesterday, including the last two with runners on first and third with one out in the top of the 15th.

So, in two days, Cleveland fans saw the end of an eight-game post-season losing streak and the first playoff series win since 2016.

More memories for fans of the Guardians/Indians. Hopefully, there will be more to come the rest of this month.

Remember, MLB Post-Season Isn’t Supposed To Be Easy

Friday, the Cleveland Guardians will take the field in the American League Wild Card Series against the Tampa Bay Rays, trying to stop some recent post-season trends.

First, the Guards will be trying to break an eight-game losing skein in the playoffs. After winning the first two games of the Division Series against the Yankees in 2017, they lost the last three, and then lost three straight to Houston in the same round in 2018.

In 2020, Cleveland made the post-season in the truncated season, and lost both games in the best-of-three series vs. New York.

So, it has been a long time since October 6, 2017, when Yan Gomes knocked in Austin Jackson with the winning run in the 13th inning to put the Tribe up 2-0 in the best-of-five series.

With Bryan Shaw recently designated for assignment, the only member of the current team to have played in that game is Jose Ramirez.

This series won’t be easy, and really, it shouldn’t be. We have narrowed baseball to the best teams in each league, and there are only 12 teams still taking the field. None of the games the rest of the year will have the Kansas City Royals or Los Angeles Angels involved.

Cleveland has a slight edge offensively, scoring 4.28 runs per game, ranking 6th in the AL, while the Rays cross the plate 4.12 times per contest, 11th best in the league.

Pitching wise though, the Tampa is 3rd in the Junior Circuit in ERA, just ahead of Terry Francona’s group. The three starting pitchers the Guardians will face are no pushovers.

In game one, Tampa will go with Shane McClanahan (12-8, 2.54 ERA, 194 strikeouts in 166-1/2 innings), who started the All-Star Game for the American League. He’s a southpaw, and the Guardians hit 17 points less, and have an OPS as a team that is 68 points worse against left-handers than righties for the season.

Of course, it’s not as though Cleveland is starting a slouch, going with Shane Bieber who went 13-8 with a 2.88 ERA. In the second half, those numbers are even better (9-3, 2.48). Bieber does pitch better on the road, going 5-5 with a 3.22 ERA at Progressive Field.

McClanahan actually pitched better on the road but made eight less starts there.

Bieber has made one post-season start, pitching 4-2/3 innings giving up seven runs to the Yankees in 2020.

Game 2 features Tyler Glasnow, who missed most of this year recovering from Tommy John surgery (two starts allowing one earned run in 6-2/3 frames) against Triston McKenzie (11-11, 2.96 ERA). McKenzie’s ERA was a half run lower in the second half and was better at the corner of Carnegie and Ontario this season.

And if there is a deciding game on Sunday, Tampa goes with Drew Rasmussen (11-7, 2.84 ERA) while Francona counters with Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38).

You can see neither team has a decided advantage in the pitching department, even at closer. While Emmanuel Clase was tremendous (42 saves, 1.36 ERA), Pete Fairbanks had a 1.13 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 24 innings this season.

It is likely going to come down to executing on offense, moving runners over and taking the extra base when the opportunity arises.

Although the networks seem to have banished this series to non-rating game times, this might be the most intriguing series to watch.

It won’t be easy. But it’s the playoffs, it shouldn’t be.

No Need To Fix Baseball, It Will Fix Itself. We Hope

We love the game of baseball. We’ve loved it since we remembered seeing our first game way back in 1965.

And despite living in northeast Ohio, where a winning baseball team didn’t come around for 30 years, our love for the summer sport never waned.

However, right now baseball is under attack and the surprising thing is, it seems to be attacking itself. Over the last few years, they have enacted and proposed some rule changes, and some we like, and others seem to be gimmicky.

For example, we like the universal DH. The argument that the National League game had more strategy is hogwash. For the most part, if there was a runner on base with less than two out and the pitcher was coming up, he was bunting. That’s not deep thinking.

And the “double switch” isn’t rocket science either.

We also like the proposed time clock in between pitches. When people have complained about the length of games, we’ve said for years the problem was batters stepping out of the box after every pitch to supposedly adjust some kind of equipment.

Get in the box, stay in the box and for pitchers, get the sign and throw the pitch.

It seems though like the people who run baseball are kind of just throwing crap at a wall and seeing what’s going to stick: Pitchers have to face three batters, putting a runner at second for no reason to start extra-inning games, and the one we really don’t like…banning the shift.

We find it unconscionable that a rule will prevent a team from playing defense the best way. What’s next, telling Shane Bieber he can only throw his knuckle-curve once per at bat?

This year, we’ve seen the Guardians go “old school” and go back to a contact approach, putting the ball in play. Jose Ramirez is pretty much a dead pull hitter. Teams shift on him in every single at bat.

You know what? He’s still hitting .283 on the season. Why? Because he’s a good hitter. He doesn’t strikeout a lot. Yes, he gets some hits taken away by the shift, and a couple of teams have employed four outfielders against him. He still gets hits.

In our opinion, getting rid of the shift rewards the bad hitters, the ones who refuse to make adjustments and keep trying to pull outside pitches. That’s more inferior hitting than great pitching.

The new schedule also seems weird. We understand that having three wild card teams means playing in a weak division is an advantage because you play teams 19 times, but it wasn’t an issue in the AL East for a long time when the Yankees and Red Sox had the edge because the Orioles, Rays, and Blue Jays were in a down cycle.

The talking heads don’t like it now because the Twins, Guardians, Brewers, and Cardinals now have that advantage.

We’d also like to see if fans really like interleague play. Yes, it’s good to see Yankees-Mets, Giants-A’s, Cubs-White Sox, but is anyone clamoring for Guardians-Rockies? Instead, we think fans here would like to see the Yanks and Red Sox more often. They aren’t getting that with this new format.

It’s like the folks who say college basketball is better than the professional version. Yes, if you are comparing Duke-North Carolina to watching the Kings and Rockets do battle.

But what about the Bucks-Celtics vs. say, Eastern Michigan play Dayton?

We are stuck with the schedule, but let’s hope smarter people get together on the shift and keep it. It will take a while, but eventually, players will learn to hit the right way again and the sport will be better for it.

For Guardians’ Success? It’s Up To The Starters

The baseball season is now into August. The trading deadline has passed, so you can only improve your team though what you have in your farm system or by getting improvement from players currently on your roster.

It’s now August 9th and the Cleveland Guardians are still just one game out of first place in the AL Central Division and just two games behind in the race for the third wild card spot in the playoffs.

The Guardians’ front office didn’t make any moves at the trade deadline, so they will have to improve from within, and surprisingly, the biggest area for improvement needs to come from what everyone thought was a strength coming into the 2022 season: The starting rotation.

And unlike last season, the biggest factor hasn’t been injuries. Outside of Aaron Civale, who will come off the injured list tomorrow, the other members of the rotation have all made their scheduled starts.

In terms of WAR, the only team getting less out of their starters is Detroit. By comparison, last year, despite Shane Bieber, Civale, and Zach Plesac all missing considerable amounts of time, the rotation ranked 9th in the AL.

And in 2020, the shortened season which also saw Bieber winning the Cy Young Award, the Cleveland starters were the best in the American League.

That season, we felt the team had a chance to win in every single game because of the starting rotation, which was comprised of Bieber, Civale, Carlos Carrasco, Mike Clevinger, and Plesac, with Triston McKenzie joining after Clevinger was dealt.

This season, we only have that feeling when Bieber, McKenzie, and Quantrill take the hill, and the latter has had a penchant for giving up leads when the offense gives him run support.

For all of the discussion of Bieber’s drop in velocity, he’s given the Guardians a chance to win in 18 of his 20 starts to date. He’s still allowing less than a hit per inning and striking out the same, with 126 K’s in 124-2/3 frames this season.

When McKenzie stays away from the three run home run, he has shown “ace” stuff. He’s allowed just 90 hits and 33 walks in 128 innings, to go with 121 punch outs. He has done his best work against the best teams in the league, New York and Houston, going 22 innings allowing just one run in three games against them.

Quantrill, who pitched so well in the second half last year as a starter, has made 21 starts and has been spotty. We don’t like the quality start stat (6 IP, 3 runs or less) because that’s not that good, but in only six outings this season has Quantrill pitched at least six frames and allowed two runs or less.

He’s given the Guardians innings, and generally keeps the team in the game.

Plesac actually has more of those games than Quantrill (he has eight), but lately, he’s been a mess. In his last five starts, which have only covered 23 innings, he’s allowed 18 runs (7.04 ERA). He’s suffered a lack of run support all year, and right now he seems to be trying to throw the perfect pitch every time.

He walked five in his last start vs. the Astros.

Civale got off to a slow start (9.85 ERA in his first six starts) and got hurt pitching his best game of the year to that point (6-1/3 IP, 0 ER on May 20th vs. DET). He missed a month, and looked much better, allowing 10 runs in 22 innings in four starts (4.09 ERA).

His last start was July 13th against the White Sox when he pitched one inning.

Our point is if this team has any chance to contend, the starting pitching as a whole has to be much better. Both Quantrill and McKenzie were fabulous over the weekend, combining for 14 scoreless innings.

But everyone has to contribute on a turn by turn basis. If the starting pitching can get back to the way they’ve performed in the past, this Guardians team can hang in there until the end.

And they will justify the front office’s decision not to add a starter at the deadline.

Having Prospects Is Great. Winning Is Even Better

Tuesday is baseball’s trading deadline, and this year, with the Cleveland Guardians just two games out of first place in the AL Central Division, the team should be looking to add to the roster by August 2nd.

It is funny listening to Guardians’ fans though, how many don’t want the team to be buyers, and in some cases, they want them to be sellers, accumulating more prospects.

Some of that we equate to the age of the person having that opinion. It’s easy to keep looking to the future when you are young.

However, we started following this franchise in 1965. At that time, it was only 17 years since the Indians won a World Series and only 11 seasons since they were last in the Fall Classic. At that point, we loved the players on the team (my favorite was Sam McDowell) and didn’t realize most of them just weren’t very good.

Finally, the team got to be very good, thirty years later, getting to the Series in 1995 and 1997, trying to break a 37- and 39-year drought since a world title team was in the city.

They were oh so close in both ’97 and 2016 (68 years since 1948), and to be fair, since the rebirth of the team when they moved to Jacobs/Progressive Field, the franchise has been very competitive, more often than not.

Let’s face it, it’s easy to keep building a team, it’s tougher to try to take that last step and win.

Chris Antonetti went for it in ’16, dealing for Andrew Miller and almost landing catcher Jonathan Lucroy. And as we all know, the team made it to extra innings in game seven of the Series.

We understand the Guardians have a bright future. They have perhaps the best farm system in all of baseball, and at times that’s a portent of things to come. And we certainly don’t want them to mortgage that future to go all in for 2022.

After all, they are just two games over .500, even though they are only two games out.

Still, there are clearly positions the organization could upgrade without dealing one of the systems’ top 10 prospects. By WAR, the Guardians rank near the bottom at both catcher and starting pitchers.

And even if the roster is improved incrementally, it’s still better, and really that’s all you want, although we are sure some folks would like the Guardians to deal for the best players available.

However, we find it silly to read about trading players like Shane Bieber for a boatload of prospects. The organization already has a problem figuring out who they will put on the 40-man roster this off-season, they simply have too many candidates.

And why would you pull the plug on this season? Those folks will tell you they probably aren’t getting the World Series this season, but in reality, the odds are pretty low any team will get to the Series in any given season.

Even the Yankees this season, as dominant as they have been, currently only have a 33% chance of reaching the Fall Classic.

Antonetti and GM Mike Chernoff have to balance trying to make the playoffs this year with the bright future the organization has. With their track record, they deserve our trust.

At some point, you have to try to win. There’s no parade for having a great farm system.

Guardians’ Pitching Gives Them A Chance Daily

To be honest, when the Cleveland Guardians embarked on this trip to Colorado, Los Angeles, and Minnesota, we would have taken a 4-5 record. Just tread water and get back to Progressive Field, where they haven’t played much this season.

Six games into the trek, the Guards have already picked up five wins, thus clinching a winning trip and now head into a span where they play the team ahead of them in the AL Central standings, the Twins, eight times in the next ten days.

Minnesota sits one game ahead of Terry Francona’s squad, but because the Guardians have had so many games postponed because of weather, Cleveland is actually two games ahead in the loss column.

And when the team returns hope from the Twin Cities on Friday night, they will likely have played 39 of their 65 games on the road, meaning of course they will play 55 of the last 97 contests on the schedule at the corner of Carnegie and Ontario.

While the contact oriented hitting approach has been widely discussed and praised, the efforts of the pitching staff should not be ignored.

In this three week span where the Guards have gone 15-4, they have allowed more than four runs in a game just five times. This means most nights, the starting pitcher has given his team a shot at winning.

In 13 of those 19 games, the opponents scored no more than three tallies. The offense doesn’t have to be hitting on all cylinders to win games when your pitching is that good.

We don’t think fans realize how special that is. Even this past weekend, the pitching held the mighty Dodgers (yes, they were without Mookie Betts) to three runs or less in two of the three games, both of which resulted in Cleveland victories.

Ace Shane Bieber has made 13 starts in 2022 and has allowed more than three runs just once, an 8-3 loss to Toronto on May 7th. Since that start, he’s pitched 45-1/3 innings, allowing just 11 earned runs, a 2.18 ERA.

Triston McKenzie has started 11 times this year, allowing more than three runs in a game just twice. He’s allowed just 46 hits in 70 frames for the season.

Cal Quantrill has a dozen starts under his belt this season and has allowed more than three runs just twice, the second coming this past weekend in Dodger Stadium. He’s gone at least five innings in all but one start this year.

Zach Plesac can’t match the consistency shown by the trio already mentioned, but he’s allowed either one or two runs in three of his last four outings. No doubt that’s a trend Francona and pitching coach Carl Willis would like to see continued.

Rookie Konnor Pilkington has made four starts since Aaron Civale went on the injured list, and he didn’t allow more than four runs in those appearances.

Give your team a chance.

That’s the mantra the Guardians’ starting staff uses and it works. Give the offense a chance to scratch out some runs and who knows? It’s worked pretty well so far. As long as the rotation can do its job, the Guards will be in the mix.

It’s a simple formula really.

Plesac, Civale Need To Pick It Up In Guardians’ Rotation

When the 2022 baseball season started, most people figured the iffy part of the Cleveland Guardians would be their hitting. If they could muster enough offense, maybe Terry Francona’s squad could hang around and contend for a playoff spot.

To date, just the opposite has been true. The hitting attack currently ranks second in the American League in runs scored, trailing only the New York Yankees, while the pitching staff is 14th, second last, in ERA.

The starting pitching has been a disappointment.

The shortened spring training has made it difficult to evaluate the performances of the rotation, but right now, we would say the most consistent starting pitchers have been Cal Quantrill and Triston McKenzie.

Quantrill has a 3.93 ERA in six starts, allowing more than three earned runs just once (his last start in Chicago), and has given Francona at least 4-2/3 innings in each of his half dozen appearance.

McKenzie has made five starts with a 2.76 ERA. He’s allowed just four earned runs just once (vs. the Angels) and his lowest inning total was four, in his first start. His last two outings have had him giving Cleveland at least six innings.

While there have been concerns about Shane Bieber’s velocity being down about 2 MPH, up until his last start vs. Toronto, he’s been just fine. In his first five starts, he gave his team at least 4-2/3 (that was the season opener) allowing no more than three runs.

He also has the longest outing by a Guards’ pitcher this season, firing seven innings against Oakland. And he’s still allowed less hits than innings pitched, while striking out 29 against just nine walks.

The problems have been Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale.

Plesac started strong, throwing 5-2/3 scoreless frames in his first start against the Royals, and in his first three appearances, he went 17.2 innings allowing just three earned runs. However, in his last three outings, he has thrown 15 innings, giving up 14 runs, an 8.40 ERA. In those games, he has fanned just 10 hitters and walked eight.

Civale has given Tito just one good outing all season in six starts, that against the Blue Jays, and even in that one, he allowed four earned runs, although Francona admitted he probably left him in a couple of batters too long.

Friday night, he gave up two homers in the first inning against the Twins.

He has pitched into the sixth inning just once this season and has allowed at least four runs every time he has taken the mound. His defense has hurt him at times, in his first start, two of the four runs he allowed were unearned. But he needs to pitch longer in games, and better yet, keep opponents off the scoreboard.

The Guardians could give him some extra time between starts with two off days coming up, but will they?

We understand the trend in the grand old game is for starters to get through the batting order twice, but the Guards don’t set up their staff that way. They want starters to go at least six if at all possible, and quite frankly, we still think that’s the right way to do it.

The Guardians need to get Plesac and Civale straightened out if they want to be a factor in the playoff hunt. Konnor Pilkington acquitted himself very well in his first big league start against the Blue Jays.

He could be getting another chance soon if the incumbents don’t start putting up some zeroes.