Tribe Roster Decisions That Don’t Seem Difficult To Us

The last season of the Cleveland Indians is slowly winding down with just a little over two weeks remaining, a total of 18 games.

Of course, some would say the Tribe hitters have already taken the bats home, as they have scored more than three runs in a game just twice in the last 11 games. And in that span, they’ve been one hit and no hit, and were shutout three times.

When the season ends, besides the name of the team changing to Cleveland Guardians (still difficult for us to type), the next piece of business will be who will remain on the 40 man roster.

This front office is well known for their patience, so will they take into account some flashes from some of borderline players on the roster or will they look at an entire body of work, like more than 300 to 400 at bats in the majors.

For us, it wouldn’t be that difficult of the decision, we could release 5-7 players as soon as the 162nd game is played and wouldn’t look back.

First would be the perpetual prospect group, particularly those getting a little old to be considered prospects anymore.

Bradley Zimmer is the first name that comes to mind. Yes, Zimmer has hit some long home runs this year, and that’s impressive, but he’s also fanned 103 times in 290 plate appearances and has a 698 OPS, and will be 29 next season. The only saving grace would be his skill set (great speed, great defense) could be ideal for a 26th man on a roster, but if the brass is thinking he’s an everyday player, they are mistaken.

Oscar Mercado is another of those frustrating players who seem to have a lot of tools, yet aren’t real good baseball players. He will be 27 next season and has good speed and is a good glove, but can’t get on base enough or have any pop in his bat.

The third is this group is Yu Chang, who has received his most playing time in the big leagues this year, and has managed just a 659 OPS. His biggest issue? 199 plate appearances and just nine walks to go with 54 whiffs. He has some power and has played shortstop so he is solid defensively, but if the organization wasn’t going to play him when he was hot, it’s probably best for him to move on.

There are also some guys in the bullpen we believe won’t be kept either. The organization might be inclined to make another non-roster invitee situation for Blake Parker and Bryan Shaw, but we would doubt either stay on the 40 man.

And Nick Wittgren is likely to be looking for a new organization as well. His performance has declined in each of his three seasons here, and has become prone to giving up the long ball. We should also note that Parker, Shaw, and Wittgren are also all over 30 years of age.

Southpaw Alex Young, picked up on waivers from Arizona earlier this season, may join them even though he’s only 28. Having a 7.84 ERA and having really one effective performance (out of ten) doesn’t seem to engender any confidence in him.

The only thing that could be in his favor is if Carl Willis and Reuben Niebla see something in him they believe would unlock a good pitcher.

It will also be interesting to see how the team handles players like Harold Ramirez (we’d keep him), Scott Moss (who has pitched 20 innings since 2019), and Daniel Johnson (they really don’t seem to like him at all).

That’s a lot of players to make decisions on, but do any of them really catch an eye as a potential everyday player in the big leagues?

Again, the Cleveland baseball team (we are transitioning) is known for patience, but for us, it’s time to make a decision on these players.

Previewing the ’21 Tribe

This week is the week baseball fans have been looking forward to all winter. Opening Day of the 2021 season starts on Thursday, April 1st.

The Cleveland Indians have made the post-season in five of the last six seasons, and in 2019, when they didn’t, they still won 93 games.

Can they do it again in 2021?

Why they can make the playoffs. Zach Plesac joins Shane Bieber as a second ace of the starting rotation and the rest of the young pitchers keep the Indians in every game, much like last season. Logan Allen’s strong spring training translates into a solid regular season.

The back end of the bullpen, led by James Karinchak, Emmanuel Clase, and Nick Wittgren, make Terry Francona’s team unbeatable if they have a lead after six innings.

Offensively, Jose Ramirez has another incredible season at the plate, comparable to the recent seasons where he finished in the top three of the MVP voting. Josh Naylor fulfills the expectations everyone seems to have for him and becomes a guy who can put up an 800 OPS.

Andres Gimenez does a solid job at the plate, and shows why he was the correct choice to take over at shortstop because of his glove.

Eddie Rosario hits like he always has at Progressive Field, putting up 30 HR and knocking in 100 runs, and Franmil Reyes shows more consistency than ever, belting 35-40 homers.

Why they won’t make the playoffs. The inexperienced young starters don’t hold up over the entire 162 game schedule. Aaron Civale continues the struggles he had in the latter half of the 2020 campaign, and Triston McKenzie can only give the big club about 50 innings.

The offense simply can’t score enough runs to win games, and Jose Ramirez gets pitched around in any situation where the opposing team can avoid him.

The pitching isn’t help by poor outfield defense. Naylor shows he’s the best option at first base, as the other candidates for the position, first Jake Bauers, then Bobby Bradley struggle to contribute at the plate.

Reyes continues to be streaky at the plate, with periods where he is red hot, followed by several periods of 0 for 20 and 2 for 44 mixed in.

The bullpen is spotty, Karinchak struggles with his control enough that Terry Francona can’t trust him in tight games, which because of the hitting, the Indians are involved in a lot of.

And Gimenez struggles enough at the plate that Amed Rosario moves back there vs. lefties, making the defense struggle at another spot.

The Indians won’t be a bad team this season, in fact, we don’t think they will be below the .500 mark. However, an awful lot of things will need to go right for them to make the playoffs. The inexperienced rotation (remember, no one besides Bieber has pitched more than 250 innings in the big leagues) has to be very, very good.

That means two other members in the starting rotation (Plesac, Civale, or based on spring training, Logan Allen) have to be of all star caliber. And the bullpen has to be excellent as well, with Karinchak and Clase overpowering hitters.

We believe you need seven solid bats to have a good lineup, and right now, the Tribe has Ramirez, Eddie Rosario, Cesar Hernandez, and Franmil Reyes. We think Naylor can be another, but can two others step up?

It will be an interesting season for sure, as we watch Gimenez and Naylor develop, and also look at the progress of the players at the AAA and AA levels, once minor league action starts.

We figure somewhere in the neighborhood of 83-85 wins. They will be a competitive team, but won’t have enough to make the post-season in 2021

Can Tito Afford To Keep Handing It To Hand?

It is hard to come up with any criticism of the Cleveland Indians’ pitching staff.  They lead the American League in ERA at 2.56.

They also lead the AL in strikeouts, least walks, and shutouts.  The only category they are struggling a bit in is allowing the long ball.  They’ve allowed the fifth most in the league, but that is really a product of being around the strike zone so much.

Most of the home runs are of the solo variety, and throughout the history of baseball, some of the game’s best hurlers have allowed tons of homers.  The career leader is Jamie Moyer, and the next four pitchers are all in the Hall of Fame:  Robin Roberts, Ferguson Jenkins, Phil Niekro, and Don Sutton.

However, there is one thing that should be a concern for Terry Francona and his pitching coaching staff of Carl Willis, Ruben Niebla, and Brian Sweeney.  And it may be the most important pitching spot for a contending team.  It’s the status of closer Brad Hand.

Last night, Hand picked up his 5th save, but it certainly wasn’t pretty.  Coming in with a 3-0 lead handed to him by Shane Bieber and Nick Wittgren, Hand walked the lead off hitter on five pitches.

He then got Miguel Cabrera to lineout to LF, while the next hitter, Jonathan Schoop reached on catchers’ interference, which wasn’t Hand’s doing.

Another line drive to left was followed by an RBI double, so suddenly, the Tigers had the tying runs in scoring position.  Cameron Maybin bounced to the mound, and the Tribe won the game.

In Hand’s 5-2/3 innings this season, he’s allowed five hits and four walks, along with seven runs, four of them earned.

He’s made seven appearances on the season, and has produced just one clean inning, that on August 4th.  And he’s yet to protect a one run lead heading to the ninth.

He did come into a scoreless tie vs. the White Sox on July 29th, but proceeded to allow four runs (three earned) facing five hitters, retiring just one.

If the rest of the bullpen were struggling, we could understand Francona’s reticence to move away from Hand as the closer, but that is not the case.  In fact, the skipper has started to use rookie James Karinchak in high leverage situations, aka the “Andrew Miller” role.  

Nick Wittgren, who closed some a year ago when Hand was down with a tired arm, has pitched eight times (8 IP) to a 2.25 ERA and striking out 10. He’s prone to giving up the long ball, he gave up 10 gopher balls in 2019, but just one this season.

Another rookie, Cam Hill, has also earned a save, and outside of an outing against the Cubs last week, has also been very effective.

The questions are these for Tito, does he feel confident using Hand in a one run save opportunity? Would he use Karinchak in that spot, if he hadn’t already use him earlier? Would he go to Hill or Wittgren?

Again, it would be one thing if the veteran lefty, and three time All Star struggled once or twice, but he’s been shaky in six of his seven outings, and his velocity seems down, and he’s had command issues with his slider.

If Francona isn’t nervous, everyone else is.

This isn’t a normal 162 game season. The Indians are a little over a third of the way through the season, so patience is in short supply.

Perhaps Willis and his guys see something to indicate Hand is close to regaining his usual form. If they aren’t, it will be interesting to see what course of action is.

MW

Baseball Is Back And The Strategy Of The Three Batter Rule…

Baseball is back, and how great is it to say that and hear that?  The 60 game sprint is on, even if it has been made less urgent by the expansion of the playoffs to eight teams in each league.

We are all aware of the new rules this year too.  There’s a DH in the National League (hooray!), and there are two rules we aren’t very fond of because it messes with the purity of the sport.

(Yes, we are, and we hate this expression–“a baseball purist”.

The rules putting a runner on second base to start the tenth inning is understandable for this year (a little bit), but games that last more than 12 innings are rare, and we can tell you the last long game the Indians were involved in, the 19 inning affair in Toronto in 2016, was beyond exciting.

We were in a public place, and as the game went on, more and more fans drew close to the televisions in the establishment, and when the Indians won the game, a cheer went up throughout the building like the Tribe has clinched a playoff spot.

We bring this up, because the other new rule, the three batter minimum came into play during Friday night’s opener against the Royals.

With two outs in the top of the 7th and Adam Cimber on the mound, he walked Nicky Lopez, and Kansas City manager Mike Matheny countered by pinch-hitting left handed hitter Franchy Cordero.

We wondered if Terry Francona would counter with Oliver Perez to get the lefty, because we forgot about the rule, but remembered that Whit Merrifield was on deck, followed by switch hitting Adeberto Mondesi.

Now, if Perez got Cordero, all is good.  With the inning ended, Perez did not have to face the three batter minimum, and Tito could bring in a right-hander to start the 8th.

But if Perez failed to get Cordero, he then would have had to face Merrifield with two men on and the game very much in the balance.

In the past, we think that’s what Francona would have done, bring in Perez to get the pinch-hitter, and then bring in Nick Wittgren to face the all star, Merrifield.

Cimber, who still makes us a tad nervous when he faces a left-handed hitter, got Cordero to ground out to Cesar Hernandez, and the inning was over.

We feel the new rule really affects a specialist, like Cimber, because he has been very good in his career vs. right-handed hitters (.240 batting average against, 624 OPS), but left handed hitters turn into Ted Williams (.313, 1.008 OPS).

If those numbers continue, the skipper will have to be very judicious in how to use him, and perhaps it is so difficult to use him in the correct spots, that it is not worth having a roster spot.

And for those wondering if Shane Bieber earned the Opening Day gig over Mike Clevinger, how was six scoreless innings with 14 strikeouts?  It would be tough to beat that, no?

Yes, it was against Kansas City, but the Royals have some good hitters.  Merrifield is a machine at the plate, and Jorge Soler did lead the AL in homers a year ago.  Salvy Perez is a solid bat and Mondesi is a player to keep an eye on.

The best thing about baseball is they play again today, then tomorrow, etc.  It’s the best reality show around in our opinion.

We wonder what the television ratings, usually high for the Indians, will be this season.

MW

Can Someone Step Up In Tribe Bullpen?

Coming into spring training everyone was excited to see the new power arms in the Cleveland Indians’ bullpen.

James Karinchak struck out everyone in the minor leagues, and then came up in September to whiff eight hitters in 5-2/3 big league innings.  Then, they added Emmanuel Clase from Texas in the Corey Kluber deal, and he comes to Cleveland with a 100 MPH cutter.

Certainly, they would combine with Brad Hand to give the Tribe a formidable back end of the bullpen, allowing Terry Francona to shorten games.

Things always look good on paper, though.

Now, Clase is out for 8-12 weeks with an upper back muscle pull, so there is an opening on the roster to come north with the team on March 26th.

Right now, these pitchers would seem to have a roster spot locked up:  Hand, Karinchak, Nick Wittgren, and Oliver Perez.

We would include Adam Cimber, but he’s on the shelf right now too.

With Francona usually wanting eight relievers, that would leave four spots open in the bullpen.

The concern right now is the performance of some of what folks considered the leading candidates to fill those spots.

Hunter Wood has spent parts of the last three years in the big leagues, and has been a decent performer out of the ‘pen.  He’s allowed six earned runs in an inning and a third in two appearances with two walks.

Dominic Leone is a reliever brought in over the winter with major league experience and he has pitched three times in Arizona, and been knocked around each time.

James Hoyt received some high leverage appearances in September last season, so you would think he’s got an inside track to open the season in Cleveland, but he needs to start getting people out.  He’s allowed seven hits and four runs in 3-1/3 frames.

The most effective of the veterans is a guy we mentioned in a piece a week ago.  Phil Maton has allowed just one run in five outings.

Does this open up the competition?  Yesterday, Jefry Rodriguez, thought to be a starter, was used in relief vs. the Angels.  He pitched a solid first inning, but got cuffed around in his second inning of work.  He hasn’t been particularly effective either, allowing eight runs in 4-1/3 innings.

Although it is early, we are sure that Francona, Carl Willis, and new bullpen coach Brian Sweeney wouldn’t mind seeing people getting hitters out.

Does this open the door for some non-roster invitees to claim a spot?  We understand it’s not the usual way the Indians do business, but on the other hand, they really can’t afford a bad start to the 2020 season.

For example, Kyle Nelson could provide a third lefty out of the bullpen.  The 23-year-old southpaw struck out 69 hitters in 47-1/3 innings in the minors a year ago, including 16 in 12 AAA frames.  He’s made just one appearance in a major league game this spring though.

We have seen more of 25-year-old Cam Hill though.  Hill had a 4.74 ERA at Columbus last season, fanning 36 hitters in 24 innings.  He’s made three appearances this spring, allowing just one run.

This is a season to check out exhibition box scores, to see what relievers are pitching early in games, when the regulars are still playing, and if any new names are appearing.  If you see that, it could mean the staff is searching for some answers, should the veterans continue to struggle.

 

Tribe Has To Stay With Hand

First of all, Brad Hand has saved the last two games, and now has 31 on the year.

He’s blown five saves this season, and four of them have come since the All Star break.  And when you are in a pennant race, everything is magnified, and when you lose games you had the lead in going into the ninth inning, it’s a huge deal.

However, Terry Francona is right when he says the Indians cannot run away from Brad Hand if they want to get to the post-season and go deep into October.  They need Hand to be the guy he was in April and May.

Since Hand went to San Diego in 2016, he has been one of the game’s best closers, striking out more than 100 hitters in each of the last three seasons, and he’s fanned 77 in 53 innings this season.

But the real reason the Francona and the Tribe can’t go away from the lefty is they really don’t have any options.

While the Indians statistically have the best bullpen in the sport, they are doing it without the power arms one usually associates with a closer.

Think about it, who would Francona use as an alternative to Hand?

Nick Wittgren has been the guy the skipper has gone to when Hand wasn’t available because of high usage, but he’s allowed four home runs in the last two months of the season (he’s allowed seven all year), and closers have to stay away from the long ball (Hand has allowed 5 HR).

Plus, even though Wittgren has struck out a hitter per inning this season, he’s not considered a strikeout pitcher.

Nick Goody has been outstanding since coming up in May (1.93 ERA, 20 hits allowed in 32-1/3 innings), but he relies more on his breaking ball.  Still, he might be the guy Francona goes to today if the Indians have a lead late.

Tyler Clippard is a guy Francona has been trusting more and more, he pitched the 8th inning last night, and he has a 2.52 ERA, allowing just 31 hits in 50 innings, whiffing 47, but he’s another guy who knows how to pitch.  He’s closed before, but the last time was 2015.

The ageless Oliver Perez continues to amaze both fans and hitters with his array of deliveries and arm angles, but he and Adam Cimber are more situational pitchers at this point in time in their careers.

Hunter Wood and Phil Maton are the newest members of the bullpen, and are too new for Francona to bring into the game in the 9th inning, although Wood has started to be used in some high leverage situations.

We are also sure some fans will say what about James Karinchak, who in 24-1/3 innings at AA and AAA has struck out 58 hitters, but do you really want to put an unproven rookie in the high pressure spot of saving games right away?

If he comes up, Francona will use him in low leverage situations at first before trying him with the game on the line.

As for the comeback of Carlos Carrasco, which would be great for him and a great story, our guess is at least at the beginning, Tito will use him as a set up guy, in the 7th or 8th inning.

By the time he’s back, Hand may have solved his issues.

Our point is that it’s easy to say remove Hand as the closer, but it’s another to say who should take his place.  There isn’t really an alternative on the current roster.

MW

Is Winning Exposing Tribe Bullpen A Bit?

With the Cleveland Indians’ recent winning ways, we have seen a return to the way Terry Francona likes to manage a bullpen.

Francona likes to use certain relievers with a lead and others when the Indians are trailing.  We saw this with Bryan Shaw, Andrew Miller, and Cody Allen when the Tribe was winning a lot of games in 2016 and 2017.

Yes, the Indians still have the best bullpen ERA in the AL at 3.35, but they are 12th in strikeouts by relievers, but again, they haven’t thrown as many innings as other teams.

Brad Hand has done an outstanding job in the closer role all season long and should make the American League All-Star team, but with all the winning lately, he may be showing a little bit of fatigue.

Hand had given up five runs all season before Tuesday night’s appearance in which he gave up five runs in the ninth inning vs. Kansas City.

It was his fifth appearance in six days, and since a two inning outing against the Reds in a 2-1 win on June 11th, he has struggled just a bit.

He had given up 5 hits in 4-2/3 frames since that outing, after allowing just 14 hits in 29 innings up to that point.

We aren’t blaming Hand at all, but what we are pointing out is the need for another reliable arm in the back of the Cleveland bullpen.

Nick Wittgren has been Francona’s eighth inning guy since he had a two inning save in Seattle on April 17th, and for the most part he has pitched better than he ever had in his major league career to this point.

But his recent appearance have resembled with he was in Miami, a solid reliever, but not someone with a high strikeout rate.

Veteran Tyler Clippard has been solid too, but he’s not a flame thrower either.  He throws strikes and keeps the ball in the yard, but he isn’t the type of guy who opponents fear in the 7th or 8th inning.

Francona has started to use Nick Goody more in high leverage situations too, but again, he’s not the kind of reliever who can blow hitters away.

Veteran Oliver Perez has been the most reliable lefty besides Hand, mostly because he throws strikes and holds left-handed hitters to a 471 OPS.

Help could be coming in the form of James Karinchak as soon as he gets healthy from a hamstring pull.

Starting the year in Akron, the righty struck out a mind-boggling 24 hitters in 10 innings, and then went to Columbus and fanned eight in three innings.

Those figures are right, in 13 minor league innings, Karinchak has whiffed 32 batters in 13 innings.  In his minor league career (he was drafted in 2017), he struck out 144 in 85 frames.

The Indians have promoted relievers quickly if they show dominance.  Allen made a quick leap to the majors, being drafted in 2010, and debuting with the Tribe in 2012.

Kyle Crockett and Perci Garner (remember him) also made surprising rises through the system.

You could also see 22 year old Kyle Nelson, currently at Akron, before the season ends too.  Nelson has 154 strikeouts in 104 minor league innings, including 30 in 20 innings (allowing just 9 hits) at AA.

Sidearmer Nick Sandlin, drafted last year, could also be a factor.  He had a 1.56 ERA at Akron before being promoted to Columbus.

So, help could be on the way for Francona, and it will be interesting to see what the front office does after the All Star break.

There is potential to add some power arms to the relief corps by the end of this season.  Keep an eye on the guys we mentioned.

MW

 

Tribe Bullpen Springing Some Leaks…Again

The Cleveland Indians’ bullpen was a trouble spot for the 2018 team, there can be no debate about that.

Losing Andrew Miller to injury early in the season didn’t help, and several pitchers who played key roles in 2017 were ineffective or injured, or both.

Dan Otero had a poor season.  Nick Goody started the season getting hit and eventually went on the disabled list for the rest of the season.  Zack McAllister’s luck getting by throwing one pitch for a strike caught up to him.

That put quite a strain on Cody Allen, and by the end of the year, the workload, perhaps an accumulation over the past three seasons, hurt him.

They turned to guys brought in over the winter on minor league deals, arms like Neil Ramirez, Ben Taylor, Matt Belisle, Evan Marshall, and Alexi Ogando.

Of that group, Ramirez did well upon his arrival, but faded as the season went on, very much prone to giving up home runs, a no-no for a relief pitcher, especially one who pitches late in a game.

In June, veteran Oliver Perez became available, and the Tribe signed him.  And he helped stabilize the ‘pen, compiling a 1.39 ERA for the rest of the season.

In July, the front office dealt for closer Brad Hand and submarining righty Adam Cimber, to provide more options.

The bullpen was better, but not at the level of 2016 and 2017.

Last winter, Chris Antonetti and Mike Chernoff did pretty much the same thing, bringing in some arms on minor league deals, but some were hurlers with a solid track record, like Tyler Clippard and Alex Wilson, and made minor deals for Nick Wittgren, A.J. Cole, and Chih Wei Hu.

Unfortunately, when training camp broke, Clippard was injured, Wilson was released, and Wittgren and Hu were sent to Columbus.

That meant it was basically the same cast of characters again for the relief corps.

The bullpen was strong the first few weeks of the season, but it started to spring leaks in Kansas City and Seattle, and continued over the weekend at home vs. the Braves.

Hand hasn’t been an issue.  Getting the ball to him has been.

Ramirez’ long ball woes returned.  He’s allowed four in 10 innings to date, meaning he’s given up 13 in 52-2/3 frames since arriving in Cleveland.  That’s an alarming rate.

Perez has regressed to the mean, and has allowed eight hits and two walks in 5-2/3 innings.  Last year, his WHIP was 0.742.

Another lefty, Tyler Olson, has allowed eight hits and five walks in 7.1 innings.  If you take out Olson’s scoreless streak at the end of the ’17 season, his ERA is 5.01 with the Indians, covering almost 55 innings.

He just isn’t that effective.

Otero has generally been effective, but he has given up a lot of hits.  He tends to get ground balls though, so no complaints there.

Jon Edwards started the year with promise based on his September performance a year ago, but had problems throwing strikes and was sent back to AAA.

The bright spot over the last week has been Wittgren, who allowed his first run yesterday, and picked up a two inning save in the 1-0 win at Seattle.  He’s fanned 11 and not walked a batter in eight innings.

It will be interesting to see how long the front office and Terry Francona keep confidence in Ramirez and Olson.

Cole has pitched well in Columbus, and could get called up today.  And watch for James Karinchak at Akron, who has pitched eight innings and struck out 19 hitters.  That’s domination at any level.

It seems like another case where the management’s disdain for change has hampered them.  They may be forced to make alterations soon.

MW

Our Shot At Who Is Making Tribe Roster

It is amazing to think that Opening Day for the Cleveland Indians is less than two weeks away.  It is crazier to think the season in opening in Minneapolis on March 28th, but that’s a different discussion altogether.

Who will be making the trip north with Terry Francona is still up for grabs, at least when it comes to the outfield and the bullpen.

Here is who we think should make the 25 man roster, and who we think will make it.

Starting Pitchers:  Corey Kluber, Trevor Bauer, Carlos Carrasco, Mike Clevinger, and Shane Bieber.

This is fairly easy, although it would not be shocking if Bieber didn’t open the season with the big club, because Francona won’t need a fifth starter until April 7th.  That could open up a spot for an extra bullpen arm.

Bullpen:  Brad Hand, Oliver Perez, Tyler Olson, Adam Cimber, Alex Wilson, Jon Edwards, Neil Ramirez.

We would keep Nick Wittgren over Ramirez, whose proclivity to allowing home runs scares us, but as we said previously, both may make the final 25 man list because Bieber may not.

Catchers:  Roberto Perez, Kevin Plawecki.

Another easy one

Infield:  Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Max Moroff, and DH Hanley Ramirez

It’s pretty obvious that Hanley Ramirez has made the roster.  He is getting regular at bats in an effort to make up for his late start.

For purposes here, we are assuming Lindor is ready for the opener.  If he’s not Ryan Flaherty probably makes the team as the utility man.  He may make it anyway if favor of Moroff, but we are keeping the former Pirate, because he’s primarily a shortstop.

If Lindor is ready to go, he will probably need some time off early, and we would rather not give up as much defensively, as Flaherty is primarily a 2B/3B.

Outfield:  Leonys Martin, Jake Bauers, and Greg Allen are locks in our opinion, and the other two spots are up for grabs.

We don’t think newly signed Carlos Gonzalez will be ready for the opener.

So, we would project Tyler Naquin to take one of the spots, likely holding it until Gonzalez is ready.

Naquin is only hitting .222 with 10 whiffs in 36 at bats in Arizona.  So, it’s not like he’s earned the position.

As for the last spot, that of a right-handed hitting outfielder, the candidates are Jordan Luplow, Trayce Thompson, and Oscar Mercado.

If all things were equal, Mercado would get the nod.  He’s had the best spring.

The 24-year-old outfielder, obtained from St. Louis at the deadline a year ago, is batting .410 with 3 dingers this spring, but if he can’t get regular at bats in the majors, it probably makes sense to give him those at bats in AAA.

Thompson has been better than Luplow (3 for 28, 12 K’s), but he is not on the 40 man roster, meaning someone would have to be outrighted to make room for him.

The Indians could put either Danny Salazar and/or Bradley Zimmer on the 60 day injured list to make room for Thompson and Alex Wilson, another not on the 40 man who will likely make the roster.

Flaherty is another player the Tribe would have to make room for, and possibilities there could be Eric Stamets, or a relief pitcher like Ramirez, assuming he doesn’t make the final roster.

The players on the bubble should be watched this week as to how they are used.  Likely, they will get plenty of at bats vs. MLB quality pitchers.

A week from now, it should all come into focus.  And in 11 days, they will be playing for real…hopefully.

MW

Meet The Tribe Bullpen Options

Last year, one of the biggest problems the Cleveland Indians had was its bullpen.  The relief corps was beset with injuries from early in the season, and never really righted itself.

While the starters had a 3.39 ERA in 2018, the bullpen ERA was 4.60, up almost two full runs per game (2.89 ERA in ’17) from the previous year.

Bryan Shaw signed with Colorado as a free agent after 2017, and Andrew Miller was felled by a series of injuries, and only pitched in 37 games last season.

And Nick Goody, who was very effective in the early relief role, also missed much of the year.

That put a major strain on Cody Allen, and he was worked hard early in the year because of the absences of the others, and by the end of the year, he was pretty much out of gas.

However, we feel pretty optimistic about the relief pitching heading into spring training because, unlike the outfield, the front office has brought in plenty of alternatives.  It’s the proverbial throwing a bunch of stuff against the wall, and hoping some of it sticks.

With the volatility of relief pitching in the sport, that’s an acceptable way of doing business.

One holdover candidate we got a glimpse of at the end of ’18 was Jon Edwards, who appeared in nine games and had a 3.12 ERA, striking out 10 in 8-2/3 innings.  Unless Edwards is shelled in camp, he would appear to have the team made.

Jefry Rodriguez came to Cleveland in the Yan Gomes deal, and made his debut in the big leagues a year ago with the Nationals, pitching as both a starter and a reliever.  He has control issues (37 walks in 52 innings), but he has a 6.75 ERA starting and a 2.70 ERA in six relief gigs.

If he can harness his control, he could be a factor late in games for the Tribe.

Chih-Wei Hu was acquired from Tampa Bay and has a 3.52 ERA in 11 major league appearances, spanning two seasons, striking out 21 hitters in 23 innings.

Hu had a 3.06 ERA in AAA in 2017 before returning as a starter, which he was most of his career, in the minors last season.

Nick Wittgren, who just came over from Miami, has made 118 trips out of the ‘pen in the bigs over the last three seasons, compiling a 3.60 ERA, and is coming off his best season a year ago, with a 2.94 ERA in 31 contests in 2018.

Last Friday, the front office brought in their most accomplished reliever, inking Alex Wilson to a minor league deal.  The 32 year old right-hander has a 3.23 ERA over 290 appearances in his six year career, with the Red Sox and Tigers.

Wilson is on a minor league deal, as is A. J. Cole, who was with the Nationals and Yankees a year ago, and had a 4.26 ERA with New York, punching out 49 in 38 innings.

Cole did allow 15 home runs in 48 innings total, but 8 of those came in dinger friendly Yankee Stadium.

And don’t forget they resigned Oliver Perez, who was a godsend a year ago when he signed on June 2nd.  The lefty had a 1.39 ERA and 43 punch outs in 32-1/3 frames for Terry Francona in ’18.

They also have Tyler Olson (13 scoreless appearances in the second half after returning from the disabled list), and Adam Cimber, who was outstanding with the Padres, and Francona never found a comfort level with him.

The whole bullpen is set up because you have a closer in Brad Hand, and he’s a good one.  As many wise baseball people have said, you start with the closer and build back from there.

Hand has saved 53 games over the past two seasons, and has whiffed over 100 hitters in relief over the past three years.

The only fear we have is the loyalty factor.  Will Tito go with Goody and Neil Ramirez instead of let’s say Hu or Rodriguez even if the latter two pitch better in Arizona?

Making that mistake could be the difference between getting off to a quick start or a slow start to the 2019 season.

MW