Tribe OF Candidates Off To Slow Start

It is almost universally reported that the biggest question mark the Cleveland Indians have heading into the 2019 baseball season was their outfield.

Granted it’s early, but how have the candidates performed now that we are a week into exhibition play in the Cactus League.

We have said all winter that centerfield was the one spot we were comfortable with heading into spring training, and early returns have provided us with support for that feeling.

Leonys Martin has returned from his life threatening illness from last season and hit the ground running, getting seven hits in his first 13 at bats, and has a walk too.  One of his hits has been a home run.

We felt Martin was an underrated get at the trade deadline because of his defense and ability to hit right-handed pitching, and felt he would be a big contributor to the roster in 2019 if healthy.

It certainly looks like that’s the case thus far.

We figured Greg Allen to be Martin’s platoon partner, but the switch-hitter is trying to get an everyday gig, starting off at 5 for 13, with a double, home run, and a walk.  If he keeps it up, you may just see Allen in leftfield and Martin in center with a right-hander on the mound.

The other “serious” candidates, basing that on either veteran status or minor league numbers have struggled a bit.

Matt Joyce, 34, who had a poor year in Oakland last year after some solid years as a platoon piece has started off the spring 0 for 12, with just one walk and four strikeouts.  In his situation, he better start hitting as soon as possible to avoid drawing his release papers.

Tyler Naquin, who homered in his first spring at bat, has gone just 2 for 13 since with a double, and has yet to draw a free pass.  We understand that players aren’t working the count like they would in the regular season, but Naquin isn’t a guy with a high walk rate in his brief big league tenure.

The hope for a right-handed bat, Jordan Luplow, who had good AAA numbers in the Pirates’ organization, is also off to a tough start.  He’s just 1 for 11 with two walks, and has fanned six times.  Let’s just say he’s not making a very good first impression.

Oscar Mercado was considered a long shot coming into camp, but Luplow’s struggles probably increase his chances of sticking.  He’s had five hits in his 15 at bats with a home run.  He has whiffed four times without drawing a walk.

These performances could be why management has been looking for Hanley Ramirez to provide some hitting.  Unfortunately, he’s only been a premier hitter at the major league level once in the last four seasons.

If he can stick, it would move Jake Bauers to the outfield, probably with Martin in CF and Allen in RF against righties.  When a southpaw starts?  Your guess is as good as mine, but it could be Allen in CF, with either Luplow or Mercado in RF.

It would have been nice if the front office brought in a proven big league performer to play the outfield, but the cost cutting mandate from ownership prevented that.

For now, the Tribe has to hope someone starts hitting and continues it when the season opens on March 28th.

MW

Tribe’s OF In Flux

It is almost universal throughout the baseball community that the Cleveland Indians currently have an outfield substandard for a team which should be a World Series contender.

The loss of Michael Brantley, the best hitter among the players who patrol the grass, makes the weakness even more prominent.

In 2018, the Tribe searched for a centerfielder most of the season.  Bradley Zimmer opened the season as the regular, but he was striking out at an alarming rate (44 times in 114 plate appearances), and Rajai Davis and his 559 OPS wasn’t the answer either.

The front office thought it fixed the problem by dealing for Leonys Martin at the trading deadline, but he went down with a serious illness, and the problem was there again.

Greg Allen finished the year strong, but he was displaced by Jason Kipnis when Josh Donaldson was acquired.

Melky Cabrera settled down RF after Lonnie Chisenhall was hurt, but he isn’t a plus in the field, and Brandon Guyer never regained the production he was achieving when he arrived in 2016.

This brings us to 2019 Spring Training.

We actually like the situation in center, where Martin and Allen figure to platoon.  The former had a 799 OPS vs. right handed pitcher a year ago, hitting .279 with a .451 slugging percentage.

Allen hit .297 after August 1st in ’18, and although he is also stronger against righties, he’s not as bad as Martin vs. southpaws.  He might get some time in rightfield against right-handers too, if he can hit like he did at the end of last season.

Tyler Naquin is slotted to garner a good share of playing time, but after a very hot start to his career, he has struggled.  Since August 1, 2016, he has batted just .247 with 5 HR and 35 RBI.  And he will be 28 years old in April.

He has also had problems staying healthy over the past two years.  Defensively, he seems better suited to a corner outfield spot, which is where he figures to play this season.

25 year old Jordan Luplow is an interesting case.  He couldn’t find playing time in a crowded and talented Pittsburgh outfield, and he’s hit just .185 (631 OPS) in 92 big league at bats.

However, in AAA, he’s a .300 hitter (857 OPS) with 51 extra base hits in 132 games at that level.  To us, he deserves a long look as an everyday player at one of the corner positions.

Recently signed Matt Joyce (34), had solid seasons in 2016 and 2017 with Pittsburgh and Oakland respectively.  But last year, he hit just .208 (675 OPS).  He’s a platoon piece, with a career OPS of 802 vs. right-handers and a .184 batting mark vs. lefties at the big league level.

At his age, the big question is can he hit like he did in the two seasons prior to 2018.

The unknown player (and often forgotten) is Oscar Mercado, who came over from St. Louis at the trade deadline for Connor Capel in a rare prospect for prospect deal.

A right-handed bat, Mercado spent all of last year in AAA, hitting .278 with 8 HR and 47 RBI between Memphis and Columbus.  He also stole 37 bases.

As a bonus, his strikeouts have dropped and his walks have increased as he has advanced in the minor leagues.  He’s just 24 years old.

Our guess is the Indians’ management would like Mercado to start the year in AAA, but if he has a great spring, who knows…

Based on past production, Terry Francona will earn his money figuring out who are the best three guys to play in the outfield on a game by game basis.  Hopefully, by the end of May, it becomes clearer who can contribute and will the Indians need to add someone by the end of July.

MW