Tribe Gives Fans an Early Gift in Swisher

The Indians front office must have anticipated a Browns’ beatdown in Denver, so they brightened the season for all Cleveland sports fans by announcing they inked free agent OF/1B Nick Swisher to a four-year contract.

The Tribe offense is now better than it was last season with the addition of perhaps the second best hitter on the free agent market.

Swisher isn’t a superstar, but he is a productive, consistent, durable switch-hitter who fits nicely into the 2013 Indians’ batting order.

Since becoming a regular in 2005 with the Oakland A’s, the former Ohio State player has hit at least 21 HR and knocked in 69 runs in every season since.  He does strike out a lot, but he also walks, drawing at least 77 free passes in six of the last seven years, and he has a lifetime on-base percentage of .361.

In fact, the best place for Swisher in the Indians’ batting order might just be the #2 spot, where he can draw walks and drive the ball to get rallies going.

As mentioned, he’s a switch-hitter and along with the acquisitions of Mark Reynolds and Drew Stubbs, the Indians have ended their experiment to have an all left-handed batting order.

The offense should be better next season because GM Chris Antonetti has improved three positions in the lineup.  Although we have reservations about Reynolds and his strikeouts and ability to hit outside of Arizona, he is an upgrade over Casey Kotchman with the bat.  Also, Lonnie Chisenhall should improve upon Jack Hannahan’s batting numbers at third base.

And Stubbs, even though he had a terrible season at the plate for the Reds in 2012, is better than the mishmash the Tribe played in LF last year.  And he adds speed and improved defense.

Swisher at the least will make up for Shin-Soo Choo’s numbers in RF, and he will be better than Choo against left-handed pitchers.  Here’s the lineup as we see it:

LF  Michael Brantley
RF Nick Swisher
2B Jason Kipnis
C  Carlos Santana
SS Asdrubal Cabrera
DH
1B Mark Reynolds
3B Lonnie Chisenhall
CF Drew Stubbs

Because of the amount of strikeouts for Reynolds and Stubbs, they would be best served hitting in the bottom third of the order.  And we have always thought Cabrera would be better suited for the fifth spot in the order.  Also, the guess here is new skipper Terry Francona will have a wonderful effect on the shortstop’s career.

And don’t forget, the GM added a solid bat for the bench in utility man Mike Aviles, who can be very productive in a limited role, say around 350-400 at bats per season.

Now, Antonetti needs to work on the pitching staff, which was the worst in the AL last season.  He added a potential top of the rotation guy in Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco will also return following Tommy John surgery.  Still, no team wants to depend on a bounce back season by Justin Masterson, a rookie, and a guy coming back from an injury to anchor the starting rotation.

That means another reliable starter is needed, and perhaps closer Chris Perez will be the bait.

Getting another arm would move Ubaldo Jimenez into the fifth spot in the rotation, and don’t forget about Zack McAllister, who might have been the Indians’ most reliable arm at the end of the season.

In fact, Jimenez might even be moved so Cleveland can get out from under the almost $6 million owed to him next season.

After a couple of years of relative inactivity, you have to give props to Antonetti for finally going out and improving this baseball team.  While there is some work to do, getting Swisher and Bauer give Tribe fans a good foundation for hope when spring training starts in about six weeks.

MW

 

 

Tribe Takes a Good Risk in Choo Trade

When the rumors of Shin-Soo Choo being traded to Cincinnati for OF Drew Stubbs and minor league SS Didi Gregorius started yesterday, our immediate reaction was a sickening feeling.

Trading one of the team’s best hitters, even though he would be a free agent at the end of the year, for a minor leaguer (when your farm system is loaded with prospects at that position) and another strikeout machine with a low batting average, isn’t very attractive.

However, dealing Choo for a potential big time starting pitcher is a good move.

Getting Trevor Bauer, Arizona’s top pitching prospect, a guy who is among the top ten prospects in all of baseball, for a player who wasn’t going to be with the Indians after 2013 has to be considered a win for GM Chris Antonetti.

In order to get back to the top of the AL Central, the Tribe needs to improve their starting pitching, and getting one of the best prospects in the game has to be viewed favorably.

And it was done without trading SS Asdrubal Cabrera, which had been rumored over the last month.

Bauer will be 22 next season and last year went 12-2 between AA and AAA with a 2.42 ERA and 157 strikeouts in 130 innings.  He did make four big league starts, going 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA.

That’s what you call a small sample though.

Antonetti also received a couple of hard throwing bullpen guys in Mitch Albers and Bryan Shaw to increase depth in the relief corps.  Perhaps one of those two or a guy like Joe Smith can be used in another trade.

The other players the Tribe gave up were superfluous.  Jason Donald never looked to be more than a platoon player and his best defensive position was 2B.  He was stuck behind newcomer Mike Aviles anyway.

Tony Sipp was a key part of the Indians bullpen the past few years, but with Nick Hagadone and Scott Barnes on the roster, he was a candidate to be moved.

And Lars Anderson was a throw in.

Do the Indians still have work to do?  Of course.  The loss of Choo leaves a huge void in an offense that already struggled to score runs last season.  Stubbs and his low batting average (he hit .214 last year) and ton of strikeouts, doesn’t come near to replacing him.

They also still could use a proven starting pitcher to go along with Justin Masterson.  That would put Carlos Carrasco,  Ubaldo Jimenez and Bauer in the mix to be the fourth and fifth guys in the rotation to start the year.

Meaning Jimenez could be expendable.

As for Cabrera, the trade rumors that swirled around him at the winter meetings may have been the Indians sending him a message.

The past two seasons, he has either came to spring training heavy or gained weight during the season.  The organization may have been telling him to get his act together, and Terry Francona may be saying it is time to realize his talent.

It is doubtful the Tribe will deal him now, because that would mean having to find two good offensive players to replace him and Choo.

Forget about Stubbs, if can figure out how to make contact, he will be an asset.  He is an excellent defensive outfielder and can steal a base if he can get to first.

His lack of contact, as well as that of Mark Reynolds, who figures to be the Indians’ first baseman will not help the offense.  Although the Tribe did need a guy who can score a run with one swing of the bat.

If Reynolds can hit 30 HRs, he will help.  But make no mistake, he’s an all or nothing hitter.  If he’s hitting in the 7-8-9 spot, that’s okay.

The reason to be excited about this deal is getting a potential ace like Bauer.  The Indians haven’t been able to draft a top of the rotation pitcher since C.C. Sabathia.

They may have got one yesterday for a player who was going to leave after next season.

MW

No Moves Mean No Tickets Sold

The Cleveland Indians’ front office has been so inert in recent years; they are starting to get credit for doing anything.

So, the fact they are talking about trades and/or signing free agents at the winter meeting is making some fans happy.

That’s setting the bar very, very low.

First of all, they should be making moves to help the team win, that is their job.  However, that’s not good enough either.  They should be making good moves to improve the ballclub.  Making the wrong move is worse than no move at all.

You hear this from some fans and even some in the media about the Ubaldo Jimenez trade.  They say you have to give the front office credit for taking a risk.

We didn’t like the trade at the time because GM Chris Antonetti gave up his top two pitching prospects (and three in the top ten organizationally) and didn’t get a true ace in return.  You have to get a #1 starter if you are doing that, and to this point, Jimenez has been a bust.

Here’s hoping new pitching coach Mickey Calloway can straighten him out because he doesn’t have sound mechanics.

We read similar comments about the Indians’ offer to free agent OF Shane Victorino, which was reportedly four years totaling $44 million.

This would have been a bad contract, so why give the front office credit?  Victorino is 32 years old coming off a poor season, and over the past two years has been a poor hitter against right-handed pitchers.

Unless of course, the front office was saving face because they knew there was no way the outfielder was going to take their offer.

Since the Indians claim they can’t spend a lot on payroll, a contract like the one they offered to Victorino would come back to bite them.

There was excitement regarding a possible megadeal involved Cleveland, Arizona, Texas and one other team in which the Indians would be dealing SS Asdrubal Cabrera and received three or four (depending on the report) major league ready prospects.

That deal or a form of it may occur down the line, but at this point Cabrera is still an Indians.

Cleveland is also believed to be in on free agent OF Nick Swisher, but so are other teams.

So basically, the Indians haven’t done anything thus far to improve their team.  And then they wonder why they have a problem selling tickets and generating interest.

Any buzz created around a professional franchise has to be created in the off-season, and right now, less than three weeks before Christmas; the Indians have done nothing except hiring Terry Francona as manager to make anyone think anything has changed.

And managers do not sell tickets.

Again, this is not to say that Antonetti should make a move just to say he did something.  That’s not enough.  But he hasn’t done a darn thing to show fans, which buy the tickets, that this is a team to come down and watch.

Is it too much to ask the Indians’ management to make moves that will help the franchise in 2013 and not hamstring it for the future?

No.  That’s their job.  They are supposed to be experts in evaluating talent and deciding what fair market value is.

Now there is still time to make some moves to improve the 2013 edition of the Cleveland Indians.  It’s just a little disappointing that nothing has happened as of yet.  If the team wants some ticket buying momentum in the gift giving season, they need to do something sooner rather than later.

KM

Dreaming of Stanton in Tribe Uniform

As baseball enters their annual winter meetings this week, the Cleveland Indians are said to be shopping most of their best players.

Shin-Soo Choo is on the market because he will be a free agent at the end of the 2013 season and his agent is Scott Boras, who almost always takes his clients to the free market.

Chris Perez is on the block because he’s due a big raise in arbitration, and is arguably the team’s biggest trading chip.  If there is any strength in the organization it is in the relief pitching department, and the front office may just feel they can fill a few holes by dealing Perez, and they have options to replace him.

And Asdrubal Cabrera is said to be likely to be moved because he plays a premium position and there is a shortage of shortstop available.  GM Chris Antonetti may want to maximize Cabrera’s value right now.

All of these players have one thing in common, they are due to make a lot of cash.

Even though the Dolan family is reportedly set to sell SportsTime Ohio to Fox for a reported $200 million, it doesn’t look like any of that money is going into the baseball operation.

If the Indians want to add payroll, they certainly have plenty of options.  The free agent market has spiraled out of control once again with players like B. J. Upton getting $15 million per year and .211 hitting Russell Martin getting $8.5 million a season.

So the smart play would be to take on some cash in a trade or wait for the initial wave of free agency to pass and see what kind of value is out there.

If they want to make a big splash, there is one player out there that the Indians should make a bona-fide offer on, and that is Marlins’ OF Giancarlo Stanton.

At last year’s trading deadline, there was some discussion in the media about dealing the Tribe’s top prospect SS Francisco Lindor.  We were against this because if you are going to deal a talent like him, you have to get a player who is still on the way up and has plenty of time under Cleveland’s control.

Stanton is that guy.  For one, he just turned 23 years old last month, meaning he will play the entire ’13 campaign at that age.

He also will not be a free agent until after the 2017 season, meaning the Indians would control him for five more seasons.  Add to both of those bits of information the fact that he is an out-and-out stud, with already 93 big league home runs.

He led the National League in slugging percentage last season at .608.  He’s not a product of his ball park either.  His home and road splits are virtually the same.

As good as Lindor can be, if he has to be the centerpiece of a deal to get Giancarlo Stanton, then so be it.

Following the 2007 season, the Marlins were shopping a young right-handed hitter named Miguel Cabrera.  We thought he was the closest thing to Manny Ramirez that would come around in a long time, and said the Tribe should go out and get him.  They didn’t and look how it has worked out for the Tigers.

He has won two home run titles, two RBI crowns, and two batting titles since going to the Motor City.  And Detroit has been to the playoffs two straight years.

Because it’s the Indians, it is likely a dream, but if the front office wanted to get people excited about baseball in this city once again, they would start a conversation with Miami.  It may be a long time until another hitter like Giancarlo Stanton could be available.

MW

Upton Signing Shows Why Tribe Not Active in Free Agency

The Cleveland Indians have a reputation of being a tad frugal in terms of payroll.

The Tribe was in the lower third of all major league teams in terms of spending on the ballclub, which infuriates its fan base to no end.  When they do spend money, they usually don’t spend wisely.

Take, for example, the $5 million given to Grady Sizemore, and another reported $3 million to Casey Kotchman, named in an article on Baseball Prospectus at the least valuable player in baseball.

Going back a few years, the front office made a colossal mistake when faced with the specter of having three front line players, C.C. Sabathia, Travis Hafner, and Jake Westbrook coming up on free agency, they decided to sign the lesser two players and traded Sabathia away.

We still believe if they would have offered the current Yankees’ ace less than what they paid the other two combined per year (an estimated $22 million), perhaps C.C. would still be wearing a Cleveland uniform.

You see, the best investment in baseball is signing your star young players to big cash, and staying away from older star free agents, and other free agents in general.

Do you think the Yankees would love to get rid of Alex Rodriguez’ bloated contract now, based on his production over the past couple of years?  The bet here is that the Angels will regret the Albert Pujols deal as he heads into his late 30’s.

Yesterday, the Braves decided to give OF B. J. Upton $15 million per year for five years.  Atlanta may regret this one before the last two years on the contract.

Why?  Because Upton is nothing more than an average player.  If an 800 OPS makes you a very good offensive player, then Upton certainly is lacking.  He’s reached that figure just once in his career, and that was in 2007.  His lifetime mark of 758 is just slightly higher than the American League average in 2012 (731).

If the going rate for a player like Upton is $15 mil a year, then by all means the Indians should wait for the bargains in free agency if they participate at all.  If Upton is worth that amount, then what is Nick Swisher worth?

Not that the latter is a great player, but he has a OPS of 828.  He’s a much more productive hitter than B.J. Upton.

It is ridiculous what the going rate is for average players on the open market.  As they say, it only takes one crazy team.

That’s why the ability to draft well and develop your own talent is so important.  It gives you the chance to have good talent at an affordable price.

Shin-Soo Choo is a better player than Upton, and Michael Brantley’s OPS is roughly the same (750).  Both players combined will make far less than the new Braves’ outfielder.

So, do the Indians have a chance to get better right away?

Sure.

They can make trades for players who have abilities from teams trying to shed some payroll and have maybe a year or two left on their contracts.  That strategy buys you time until some young players develop.

You can also wait out the market a little bit and get good players for less money than Upton received.  You just have to sign the right players.

For example, both Josh Willingham and Cody Ross were signed for relatively little money, but both had very productive seasons.

That’s the right way to play the free agency game.

Signing a player like Upton would hamstring the Indians for several years, just like Hafner’s hefty deal.

That’s the way the money game in baseball is played today.

KM

AL MVP Voters Got it Right

The two most discussed issues so far in baseball’s off-season have been the dismantling of the Miami Marlins roster after just one year in their new ballpark, and who should be the American League MVP.

The old school thought was triple crown winner Miguel Cabrera of the Tigers, while the Sabermetric viewpoint was that the Angels’ Mike Trout should receive the award.

As a matter of full disclosure, we read all of Bill James’ Baseball Abstracts when they came out, and learned a different way of thinking about the game from James.

In the mid 80’s, when his book first game out, he was the first guy talking about the importance of slugging percentage and on-base percentage, and having a player who gets on base in the leadoff spot is much better than having someone with speed that can’t get on base.

We use OPS (on base percentage plus slugging percentage) a lot in talking about baseball.

James changed the way fans thought about the game.

But Miguel Cabrera still deserved the AL MVP.

He led the league in batting average, a statistic devalued by the stat people, but it wasn’t like the Tiger third baseman didn’t have a good on base percentage or slugging percentage.  He most certainly did.

The stat based people say Cabrera didn’t have a good enough WAR.

WAR is wins over replacement player, and is an interesting number to look at.  However, it is a calculated number.

Yes, yes, batting average is too, but it is determined by dividing hits by times at bat.  Those numbers come right out of your nightly boxscore.

WAR and its cousin VORP (value over replacement player) are not.  Here is the definition of WAR from Fangraphs.com:

Wins Above Replacement (WAR) is an attempt by the sabermetric baseball community to summarize a player’s total contributions to their team in one statistic.

The key word there is “attempt”.

Who knows?  You could look at a few different numbers and determine that Jack Hannahan should be the MVP.

Not really, but you get my point.  WAR and VORP are nice numbers to look at, but they don’t have the same validity as someone’s slugging percentage.

That isn’t to say they aren’t useful at times, in fact, we used VORP to show how terrible Casey Kotchman was for the Indians this year.  He had a negative value, which meant you could call up someone from the minors and they would be better.

But the factors used to calculate the numbers are arbitrary.  They were arrived at with a great deal of research and matched up with historically great players so they make sense, but they are still arbitrary.

Mike Trout had a tremendous season, and barring injury will have a tremendous career.  That said, Miguel Cabrera was the rightful winner of the MVP.

The other problem is the attitude of the some of the statistic supporters.  They act like people in a political debate.  They are right, “traditional” baseball people are wrong.

That’s it.  There is no room for discussion, and why can’t people see that batting average is overrated.

The stat people rave about guys like Adam Dunn because they hit home runs and walk a lot.  However, he also strikes out a unbelieveable amount of times and batted .208.

Think about how White Sox fans feel when Dunn whiffs with a man on third and less than two outs.

Dunn has value, no question about that, but he’s not a great hitter.  Even if batting average doesn’t mean much, .208 still isn’t very good.

Some of the information generated by the stat people today are useful.  However, the game is still won by whoever scores more runs.

Not by which lineup has a better WAR.

MW

Tribe Doesn’t Need Rebuild.

The 2012 baseball season ended just two weeks ago, and already the Cleveland Indians are worrying us in terms of next year’s season.

Why?  Because there are many indications that GM Chris Antonetti is prepared to do another total rebuild.  The Indians will point to the success the Oakland A’s had this year in using that tactic, but really, how often does dealing for a bunch of prospect have an impact the very next season?

If it happened all the time, then everyone would do it.

This thought comes from the rumors that the Tribe is taking offers on SS Asdrubal Cabrera, OF Shin-Soo Choo, SP Justin Masterson, and closer Chris Perez.

Sounds again like the front office is giving up on 2013, much the same as they gave up on the 2010 season when they dealt Victor Martinez and Cliff Lee at the trading deadline.

Enough is enough.

While certainly the Indians should look at dealing a couple of those guys, most notably Perez, to try to fill some holes, trading all of them makes long time fans think of the 1970’s and 1980’s when the Indians routinely traded their best players.

That list is as long as your arm.

If Antonetti is going to go down that path, he has to get major league ready players, not guys who won’t be contributors in Cleveland until 2014 or 2015.

Also, Oakland’s rebuild was helped significantly by going out and signing Cuban free agent Yoenis Cespedes to a big contract.  In a normal year, by that meaning no Mike Trout, Cespedes would have been the AL Rookie of the Year.

How many people think the Dolans will make a big financial commitment to anyone?

So far this winter, the Indians had a chance to get either Ervin Santana or Dan Haren from the Angels for basically a one-year contract.  It would have been a lot of cash, but for one year, why not?

At the end of the season, most people agreed that the Indians had some solid young players, like Cabrera, Michael Brantley, Carlos Santana, and Jason Kipnis.  Why not add to those guys and try to win now?

The desire to trade Choo is understandable.  He will probably be looking for a four or five-year deal, and since the outfielder is 30 years old, that might be pushing it.  A three-year deal would work for the Indians, but his agent Scott Boras is sure to want more.

Masterson has shown to be no better than a #3 starter, too inconsistent to be a staff ace.  If you can fill one of your holes at LF or 1B by dealing him, it may be worth it.

And we’ve discussed the organizational depth in the bullpen as a reason for dealing Perez.

But trading all of them and include Cabrera as well seems like a total rebuild.

The Indians would then need a first baseman, shortstop, left fielder, right fielder, designated hitter, and three starting pitchers.

Would you buy tickets to watch that?

Instead, why not get 1B/3B/DH Kevin Youkilis for a two-year deal, sign Joe Blanton as a starting pitcher, and trade one of four rumored to be dealt for more pitching and/or a LF?

That way, you have a chance to win next year without being on the hook for a bunch of crazy contracts.

It’s not as though the Cleveland Indians have a lot of age on the roster.  So why not build on the talent already there.

MW

Tribe Trade Is A Good First Step

The Cleveland Indians made their first move of the off-season on Saturday, dealing reliever Esmil Rogers to Toronto for infielder Mike Aviles and C/INF Yan Gomes.

Although Rogers was pretty effective for the Tribe since coming over from Colorado on waivers during the season, and may have been a closer option should the team trade Chris Perez in the off-season, it was a good move for GM Chris Antonetti, and an aggressive move at that.

If the Indians have any depth in their organization it is in the bullpen where they have several young arms ready to move up to the major leagues.

We have said the Tribe needs to get better with every move they make this off-season, and they did so with this move.

The 2012 edition of the Indians did not have a legitimate utility infielder to give SS Asdrubal Cabrera or 2B Jason Kipnis a day off.  This took its toll after the all-star break when both were running on fumes and were producing.

Aviles, who will be 32 at the beginning of next season, is a legitimate major leaguer with a .277 lifetime batting average.  However, last year was his first year with over 500 at bats and his hitting suffered, with his average dipping to .250.

So it appears he would be solid in a reverse role.  He can hit lefties, with a lifetime .295 batting average and 797 OPS.

If the plan is to trade Cabrera and use Aviles everyday at short as a stop-gap until Francisco Lindor is ready, then it is not a good plan.

Aviles is not regarding as a good defensive shortstop and has a lower range factor than Cabrera did in 2012.

Still, the veteran is a better stick than Jack Hannahan and Brent Lillibridge, so the Indians are better after the deal than they were before, and that’s exactly what the front office needs to do.

Gomes is another right-handed hitter, which means perhaps the organization has come off the all left-handed hitter theory they embraced last season.  He’s a corner infield guy who can also catch, meaning he’s a good bench player.  And he has some pop in his bat, hitting four home runs in 111 big league at bats.

He hit .328 at Las Vegas last season, but the Pacific Coast League is a notorious hitters circuit and Vegas is one of the chief reasons for that reputation.  From his minor league numbers, he looks like a free swinger.  So he will likely open the season at Columbus and provide organizational depth.

After a slow hot stove season last winter, the Indians took a step toward addressing one of their weaknesses very quickly after the 2012 season ended.  They should get kudos for doing that and for the move they made here.

Hopefully, this is the first move in a busy winter for Antonetti.  And we also hope he is working very closely with Terry Francona to assemble a roster that the manager wants.

It feels like in recent years that the manager and front office weren’t on the same page when it came to who should be on the roster and get playing time.

Building some roster depth was needed, but the Tribe still needs a 1B, LF, and a DH or a catcher if Carlos Santana is moved to fill one of those other needs, as well as a couple of starting pitchers.

It may be that Francona has brought the sense of urgency that has been lacking since the Ubaldo Jimenez trade in July 2011.

That might be the new skipper’s biggest impact of all.

KM

Here’s a Marketing Plan for Tribe: WIN!

A little over a week ago, the Cleveland Indians sent an email to various fans asking for input on a new seating plan.  They are studying taking out several rows of seating in the lower bowl between first base and third base and replacing them with tables to create a patio type area.

They were just feeling people out on doing something like this, nothing has been decided as far as we know.

Last year, there were rumors the Indians were looking at putting a hotel beyond the right field stands removing a portion of the upper deck.

This is exactly the kind of thinking that typifies the organization in recent years.  That is a defeatist attitude.

They seem to be searching for various ways to draw people to Progressive Field, kind of reminiscent of the Cavaliers organization after the Brad Daugherty-Mark Price-Larry Nance teams.

At that time, the Cavs changed uniforms several times, even going to the popular color at the time, a black jersey.  They brought in a supposed superstar in Shawn Kemp.  They tried all sorts of marketing gimmicks.

It didn’t work, because the only gimmick that draws fans to games in Cleveland, Ohio isn’t a gimmick at all.  It’s called winning!

Instead of taking out seats, the Tribe front office should be looking at accumulating talent so they can win and draw fans to a beautiful ballpark that doesn’t need a facelift.  They are taking the easy way out instead of listening to the true baseball fans on the North Coast.

Here’s hoping new manager Terry Francona slaps some sense into the people running the Indians.

Recently, Indians’ president Mark Shapiro was interviewed by Fox Sports Ohio’s Patrick McManamon, where he talked about the number of wins the teams’ research shows a free agent worth $9 million will bring.  The numbers show one victory is gained, which supports the decision the Indians have made not to sign free agents.

Obviously, it’s not as simple as that, and you need to look no further than Alex Rodriguez to see what spending huge amounts of money on aging players can do for you.  For the Yankees, it’s a bothersome contract, for a team like the Indians, it would be suicide.

Still, the question that comes from here is all of this statistical analysis is nice, but what if it is wrong?  And here’s a stat for Shapiro…nine losing seasons in 11 years.  Your model is not working.

After this season’s disaster, it was thought that perhaps the Indians’ front office gained some humility, but maybe getting a skipper that has won two World Series to take the job in Cleveland has empowered the Tribe.

They’ve talked about how they have spent more days in first place than any other team in the Central Division the last two years like that’s an important statistic.  Instead, it just brings more ridicule for bringing up something so inane.

The reason the Indians are losing season ticket holders is the hardcore baseball fans in this city no longer have confidence in the front office and ownership.

That’s what Dolan, Shapiro, and Antonetti need to repair, not come up with plans that have little to do with baseball.  Those things are nice, but without the fanatics, attendance is going to continue to decrease.

That should be the basis for any surveys.  Just one question:  If we can build a team that can make a sustained playoff push (three or four straight years), will you buy tickets?

The answer would be a resounding YES!

MW

Some Targets for the Tribe

Even though the World Series hasn’t even started, the hot stove league is already underway with a couple of deals, including one for Toronto manager John Farrell.

This impacts the Indians because the Blue Jays will likely hire Sandy Alomar Jr. to take over for Farrell.

Regardless, it is not too soon to start looking at the off-season news and rumors involving the Indians.

One of the early players said to be coming to the North Coast is 3B/1B Kevin Youkilis, who would be reunited with his skipper in Boston, Terry Francona.

Youkilis will be 34 next season, and has been in decline since his best years with the Red Sox (2008-10).  He hit just .235 in 2012 with 19 HR and 60 RBIs.

He would be a fit in Cleveland because he can give Lonnie Chisenhall some time off against tough southpaws, and can play 1B or DH.  And although his batting average has slipped, he still draws walks accounting for a better than league average 745 OPS.

That would still be an improvement over Casey Kotchman at first base, and the Indians need to get better wherever they can.

If they can sign Youk to a two or three-year deal at decent money, the Tribe front office should make the move.  He’s still a .283 lifetime hitter.

GM Chris Antonetti also needs to upgrade the starting rotation, which ended the season full of question marks.  Justin Masterson will probably be back, as Francona spoke well of him at his introductory press conference, and Zack McAllister and Carlos Carrasco, coming off Tommy John surgery will be starters as well.

That means the Indians should be looking at guys like Shawn Marcum, Joe Blanton, and Ryan Dempster to fill spots.

Marcum would be the best option, having pitched in the American League with Toronto from 2006-10.  The soon to be 31-year-old righty has a lifetime record of 57-36 with a 3.76 ERA.  For his career, he’s allowed fewer hits than innings pitched, and struck out more than twice as many as he’s walked.

Blanton, who will be 32 next season, has also pitched effectively in the American League with Oakland from 2005-08.  He’s an innings eater, throwing at least 170 innings every year except one from 2005 through this season.

He also averages almost 8 strikeouts per nine innings pitched, although he gives up a lot of hits.  He would be a middle of the rotation guy with a career ERA of 4.37, but his numbers are better than Ubaldo Jimenez’ since the latter joined the Indians.

Dempster is the oldest at 36 years old, and has only pitched in the AL this past season with the Rangers, compiling an ERA of over 5.00.

He’s a lifetime .500 pitcher at 124-124 with a 4.33 ERA.  He would probably want to stay in the NL at this stage of his career, but would benefit pitching at Progressive Field, a good park for hurlers.

Neither of these pitchers would break the bank for the Indians, and they definitely need to add at least one solid starter before spring training starts, because it all starts with good pitching.

With the free agent market this year being what it is, and with the history of this franchise, Cleveland is not signing a high ticket player.

However, they can improve the roster incrementally with every move.  The people mentioned here would help in this regard.

That would be a good start to the off-season.

MW