Three People To Watch For Browns Not Named Deshaun Watson

With the Cleveland Browns’ season starting today, it is clear that the player with the most pressure on him coming into the season is QB Deshaun Watson. The Browns paid a hefty price for the quarterback, giving up three first round draft picks and paying him a ton of guaranteed cash, and have received little return on their investment.

However, there are others under the microscope for us as the 2024 season kicks off today.

Offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. Let’s face it, the Browns’ offense hasn’t exactly been broken over the last four seasons with Kevin Stefanski and Alex Van Pelt running it. Since Stefanski became head coach, Cleveland has ranked between 14th and 18th in yards gained, right in the middle of the pack.

Dorsey’s offense in Buffalo, where he was offensive coordinator in 2022 ranked 2nd in yardage, but he was let go during the season last year.

He did have Josh Allen, one of the better QBs in the NFL guiding his attack. He comes to town with a reputation for getting the most out of “dual threat” quarterbacks, having worked with Allen and Cam Newton during his time in Carolina.

His job here is to get the most out of Watson, get him back to the player he was in Houston. However, let’s not forget the Browns’ offense hummed under Joe Flacco late last season and Stefanski has gotten the best out of pretty much every quarterback he has worked with. Except one.

Offensive line coach Andy Dickerson. He’s replacing a legend in Bill Callahan, recognized as one of the best line coaches in the business. Callahan left to coach with his son Brian in Tennessee, and the Browns made the right decision in allowing that to happen.

If the offensive line has issues this year, no doubt Dickerson will be under scrutiny because he’s not Callahan. The interior of this unit is solid with guards Joel Bitonio and Wyatt Teller, and center Ethan Pocic.

Right now, the tackle spots are up in the air, but that’s due to injury and not the coaching. As we write this, we don’t know who will start at left tackle.

Much of the Browns’ success under Stefanski has been the ability to run the football, much of that due to Nick Chubb of course, but also Bill Callahan. Can Dickerson maintain that level of excellence, especially has injuries occur?

And that brings us to…

Running back Jerome Ford. The third-year back got his first extended action last season when Chubb went down and averaged a little less than four yards per carry. Chubb, of course, is one of the best in league history, averaging 5.3 yards per carry for his career.

However, remember D’Ernest Johnson? He got 100 carries in 2021 for Cleveland and averaged 5.3 yards per carry. Last year, Pierre Strong picked up 4.6 yards per attempt.

If the Browns are going to run the ball effectively, and yes, they will need to, Ford has to do better than four yards per attempt.

For us, he seems to hesitate when he approaches the line at times instead of putting his head down and getting two yards, he looks for the big gain and loses yardage.

Perhaps that comes with experience, and we will see that in ’24. But no doubt, the Browns need the running game, especially if they have leads going into the fourth quarter.

Win Vs. KC May Have Turned It All Around For Guardians

It is very difficult to come from way behind in sports. How many times have you seen a team come from say, 20 points down in the second half of a game, trimming the lead to say, three or four points, only to fall back and wind up losing by double digits.

The same can be true chasing a team in the standings. In the past week, we have kind of seen just that with the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals.

On June 25th, the Guardians were in first place in the AL Central with a 51-26 record, leading Minnesota by nine games and the Royals by 10, as KC sat with a 43-38 mark.

You can see by the records that the teams had played about half of their season’s schedule.

But last week, the Royals finally tracked the Guardians down, winning the first three games of a four-game series in Cleveland. The two teams were tied in the standings, but because Kansas City won the season series, it meant technically, KC was in first place.

In the fourth game of the set, the Guards looked like a weary squad and trailed after six innings, 5-2. It seemed to be the equivalent of the 1978 Boston Massacre, when the Red Sox, who had a double digit lead earlier in the season, were famously swept at home by the Yankees.

Eventually, the two teams had to play a 163rd game to decide the American League East.

But we digress. In the bottom of the 7th, Cleveland rallied for four runs to take a 6-5 lead, added another run in the 8th, and when Emmanuel Clase closed out the Guardians’ victory, the series ended with a one game lead for Steven Vogt’s group.

Since then, Kansas City has lost an additional six consecutive contests, while Cleveland has won five out of six and taken a 4.5 game advantage over the Twins and 5.5 over the Royals.

Yes, the Royals lost Vinnie Pasquantino, their second or third best hitter, having driven in 97 runs in 2024, and that has really hurt their offense. They haven’t scored more than three runs since he went down.

That seventh inning at Progressive Field seems to have shifted the momentum for now in the division title race. Cleveland didn’t let Kansas City pass them, and the Royals seem to have expended a lot of energy in tracking the Guardians down.

Meanwhile, the Guardians seem to have their starting rotation pitching as well as it has all season long, although we all know that could change at the drop of a hat. Although we were skeptical of the acquisitions of Matthew Boyd and Alex Cobb by the front office, they seem to have stabilized the starting staff.

Boyd has a 2.38 ERA over five starts, while Cobb, who had a perfect game through six innings on Sunday, has a 2.76 ERA.

Overall, the rotation is giving Vogt at six innings in four straight starts, allowing the highly taxed bullpen to get some valuable rest.

Last week, when the Guards were struggling, we said we hoped for a big event, a big home run, a walk-off win, to get this team going in the right direction again.

That seventh inning in the last game of the Royals series in Cleveland may have been that shot in the arm.

Football Angst Starts This Week For Browns’ Fans

The calendar turned to September on Sunday and despite the post-season race going on at Progressive Field downtown, football is in the air and a week from now, folks in the office or at home will be talking about what happened Sunday afternoon on the lakefront as the Browns take on the Dallas Cowboys.

Cleveland won plenty last season. They won 11 games. Myles Garrett was voted the NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year. Kevin Stefanski won the NFL’s Coach of the Year for a second time. Jim Schwartz was awarded the Assistant Coach of the Year, and heck, Joe Flacco took home Comeback Player of the Year honors.

Here’s what they didn’t win: A playoff game.

It was remarkable that Stefanski guided the Browns to an 11-6 mark despite having to start four different quarterbacks, actually five if you count going with Jeff Driskel in the season finale, which meant nothing in the standings.

Heck, the coach won games starting P.J. Walker, who beat the NFC Champion 49ers, and rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who defeated Pittsburgh.

The expectations for this year though, if everyone can stay relatively healthy, is to advance deep into the playoffs. GM Andrew Berry has certainly built a roster to do just that.

Cleveland is oozing with talent. Defensively besides Garrett, they have a tremendous secondary led by cornerbacks Denzel Ward and Martin Emerson Jr., and safeties Grant Delpit and Juan Thornhill, as well as Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, who was excellent in the second half of last season.

They have weapons on offense, headed by WR Amari Cooper and TE David Njoku, who came into his own down the stretch last year, and the interior of the offensive line is very good, with perhaps the best set of guards in the league in Joel Bitonio and Wyatt Teller and center Ethan Pocic.

However, there are questions. The defense was dominant at home last season, but on the road gave up 29 points or more five times and the least points given up away from the lakefront was 22. They also gave up 45 points (really 31, there were two interceptions returned for TDs) in a road playoff game at Houston.

This has to improve, and no doubt Schwartz has been pounding this into the players’ heads during training camp.

Offensively, there is a new system with new coordinator Ken Dorsey, supposedly suited to dual threat quarterbacks like Deshaun Watson. So, if Watson doesn’t flourish this season, or misses time with an injury, we don’t know what Berry and Stefanski will do.

Under Stefanski, the Browns have always ran the ball, but of course, up until his knee injury last year, Stefanski always had Nick Chubb, the second best running back in the history of the franchise.

Chubb will miss at least the first four games of the season, and can Jerome Ford provide enough of a threat in the ground game.

Even in today’s NFL, we still believe you have to run the ball and stop the run to be a successful team.

Frankly, because we didn’t see Watson in exhibition play and because of the injuries at tackle during camp, we have no idea what the offense will look like come Sunday.

This much we know, it is time for Watson to show why the Browns paid him a lot of money and traded three first round picks to get him. For the Browns to get where they need to go, as we said, that’s a deep playoff run, Watson needs to get close to the player he was with Houston earlier in his career.

The opener is probably the toughest game for Cleveland in the first five weeks, so a fast start should be expected.

The Cleveland roster has a lot of guys over 30 years old and more approaching that milestone. No doubt the time to win is this season.

Death. Taxes. Clase. All Hail To The Franchise Saves Leader

Since the Cleveland baseball team started the most successful period of baseball in franchise history in 1995, they’ve usually had an excellent closer.

It started with Jose Mesa and his tremendous 1995 season where he saved 46 games with a 1.13 ERA and finished second in the American League Cy Young Award race. Mesa also saved 39 victories in ’96, but by 1997, Mike Jackson was sort of sharing the job with him.

We all remember though, it was Mesa on the mound in Game 7 of the World Series, trying to protect a 2-1 lead for the world championship, but he didn’t save that one.

Jackson had the job for the next two years, which resulted in division titles, saving 39 and 40 games in back-to-back years.

With the bullpen struggling in 2000, Cleveland traded for Bob Wickman, who held the job through the middle of the 2006 season, saving 45 for the 2005 squad that just missed the playoffs. In total, Wickman saved 139 games, and passed Doug Jones as the franchise all-time save leader.

Jones was a relief ace in a different era, saving 303 games in his career. The great Peter Gammons once said that his changeup, his best weapon, was as dominant as Nolan Ryan’s fastball. He saved 129 games for Cleveland, mostly over a three-year period.

When Jones saved 36 games for Houston in 1992, he pitched 111 innings, something unheard of right now.

Cody Allen was the closer during the Terry Francona era from 2014-2018, although he arguably wasn’t the most heralded bullpen arm in that period. Andrew Miller’s performance in the 2016 AL Championship Series earned him the MVP of that series.

Allen was used hard, saving 149 for Cleveland, pitching in 67 games for five consecutive seasons.

Friday night, the Indians/Guardians put a new name at the top of the saves list, as Emmanuel Clase recorded his 150th save, topping Allen on the list.

When the Guardians traded for Clase after the 2019 season, getting him as part of the package for two-time Cy Young Award winner Corey Kluber, we remember Francisco Lindor saying when he faced him in ’19, it was like hitting a bowling ball.

Clase missed the 2020 season under suspension for testing positive for a PED, and started the ’21 season sharing the closer job with James Karinchak. He quickly won the job, saving 24 games with a 1.29 ERA.

His save on Friday gave him his 40th of the year, the third consecutive season reaching that milestone. His highest ERA in any of those four seasons was 3.22 posted last season.

One of the things we always say about relief pitchers is they cannot walk people and cannot give up home runs. Clase is a prime example of that. The most hitters he has walked in a given season is 16 (’21 & ’23), and this year he has walked just eight.

Long balls? When the Pirates’ Andrew McCutchen took him deep Friday, it was shocking. Last year, a year Clase was dissatisfied with personally, he allowed four home runs. That’s his career high.

After this year’s All-Star Game, Royals’ veteran catcher Salvador Perez was asked about his biggest thrill of this year’s game. He replied it was catching Clase. That’s the kind of respect the right-hander has among his peers.

We said before the game that if the AL had the lead in the ninth, there was no question on who Bruce Bochy would give the ball to. It was going to be Emmanuel Clase.

He’s the best in the game right now without question. And now, he’s the best closer ever to wear a Cleveland uniform.

When he saves a game, we post the following on social media: Death. Taxes. Clase.

No Real Surprises On Browns Roster. Yet.

The Cleveland Browns got down to the 53 man roster needed to open the season, but as coach Kevin Stefanski said, it’s really but first 53, not the final 53.

That’s pretty obvious when you consider the Browns have just two running backs on the current roster and four quarterbacks.

There weren’t many surprises among the players cut on Tuesday. DT Siaki Ika was a third round pick a year ago, so that may raise an eyebrow, but it was pretty clear to most Browns’ observers that he was not going to make the team.

We were a bit surprised that RB D’Onta Foreman was let go given the state of the running game without Nick Chubb. He had three consecutive seasons of 400 or more rushing yards, and frankly we aren’t impressed with the running game right now.

It is easy to be spoiled by Chubb, but we aren’t impressed by Jerome Ford last season even though he gained 813 yards. He still seems hesitant hitting a hole. We know the NFL has become a passing league, but you still have to run the football if you want to be a good team, and we think the Browns are just that.

By all reports, Foreman will be re-signed after the team makes a decision on the quarterbacks, but even still, three running backs seems a little light.

The four quarterbacks are interesting to be sure, but it’s only because GM Andrew Berry values all four of them and didn’t want to let any of them go without getting something in return.

What is curious is that according to reports, both Jameis Winston and Tyler Huntley are the name bandied about on the trade rumors. We get it, quarterbacks have value in the league and if you can pick up a draft pick because your organization had the foresight to sign a veteran, that’s a good thing.

We are surprised Winston’s name is being discussed only based on what happened to Cleveland a year ago. If Deshaun Watson has to miss time this season, wouldn’t you want Winston to be the next guy up? He’s a veteran starter with 80 NFL starts under his belt.

Compare that to Huntley’s nine and Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s three. And that’s why it was later reported Cleveland has no interest in moving Winston. But they will not open with four QBs, so either Huntley (probably) or Thompson-Robinson will be traded. NOTE: Huntley was released this morning.

Otherwise, it’s a normal looking roster. An NFL team can never have enough linemen and defensive backs, and the Browns are no exception, carrying 10 on the offensive line, nine on the defensive side, and 11 defensive backs.

One surprise is not all of the draft picks made the roster, as 7th round DT Jowon Briggs was cut, but was added to the practice squad.

And of course, second rounder Michael Hall Jr. is on the Commissioner’s exempt list.

It would be a surprise if there aren’t plenty of roster movement before the Browns take the field on September 8th to take on Dallas. As Stefanski said, it’s not the final 53.

It’s Crunch Time For The Guardians.

Here we go. The Cleveland Guardians have a single game lead in the AL Central with 30 games to play and we have a good ol’ fashioned race for the division title.

It started yesterday with a doubleheader sweep by the Royals, the first two of seven games between Kansas City and Cleveland over a ten-day stretch. And there is a quartet of games at Progressive Field against the Twins September 16th through the 19th.

Pennant race baseball is a lot of fun even though Cleveland fans haven’t experienced a lot of it since the franchise returned to prominence in 1994.

Since the three divisional set up, when Cleveland has won the division, they did it pretty comfortably: 30 game margin in 1995, 14.5 in ’96, 6 games in ’97, 9 in ’98, 21.5 in ’99, 6 games in 2001, 8 in 2007, 8 in 2016, 17 in ’17, 13 in ’19, and their last division title was won by 11 games in 2022.

Now this year, it may wind up the same, with the Guardians coasting into the title by going on a hot streak.

The most fun last month of the season might have been 2013, Terry Francona’s first year as Indians’ skipper. On Labor Day, Cleveland was in second place in the Central, 8.5 behind the first place Tigers. In terms of the wild card, and there were only two that year, the Tribe was 3.5 behind the Rays, who at the time held the last playoff spot.

By September 15th, they had trimmed that margin to just a half game and wound up hosting the Wild Card Game against Tampa by winning their last 11 games to cap off a 21-6 month.

By the way, they lost that one game playoff and the Rays’ starting pitcher was current Guardian Alex Cobb.

While it is likely (not guaranteed) that all three teams, the Guardians, Royals, and Twins will make the playoffs, winning the division takes added importance this season.

Right now, Cleveland has a five-game edge over AL West leading Houston, and the division winners with the two best records at the end of the season advance right to the Division Series. Keep in mind, the Astros and Guardians finish the regular season with a three-game set at Progressive Field.

After the second set of games against the Royals, the last three being in KC, the Guardians then have to travel to the west coast to take on the Dodgers, before heading to Chicago for a series with the Sox, now of course managed by former Cleveland standout, Grady Sizemore.

At the conclusion of that excursion pretty much ends the road season for Steven Vogt’s crew, with only a three-game set in St. Louis remaining away from the corner of Carnegie and Ontario.

As for the Royals, they have just 13 home games left and following these games in Cleveland, they head to Houston for four there. They also have road series at Yankee Stadium and Atlanta, the latter to finish the season.

The Twins play 19 more at Target Field and have 14 road contests. They are currently playing the Braves, and have three more in Kansas City while the Guards are in LA.

They end the year against the Orioles, who could also be fighting for playoff seeding.

While it may not be enjoyable to watch, especially if the Guardians’ hitting is struggling, meaningful September (and late August) baseball is supposed to be fun. Besides the Cleveland game, you also have the scoreboard watching.

Let’s hope there is more hope at the end of this stretch and not more questions.

Don’t Look Now, But Playoffs Aren’t A Sure Thing For Guardians

For the first two months of this baseball season, the Cleveland Guardians were on a magic carpet. After beating Washington 7-1 on May 31st, they were 38-19 and had a four-game lead in the AL Central Division.

Since that victory, the Guards are 36-36. Notice the number of games played in each segment we’ve talked about. They have been a “meh” team longer than they were great.

We remember in 1984 after the Detroit Tigers got off to a 35-5 start, someone asked manager Sparky Anderson about Toronto, who the interviewer told Anderson had the same record as Detroit since a specific date.

Anderson snapped back and told the media person something to the effect that it was too bad the season didn’t begin on the later date.

So, while the Guardians have been struggling for two and a half months, they’ve earned their spot on top of the division because of the fast start.

But that only lasts so long.

Their division lead is down to just two games over the Royals and Twins, but what is more disturbing is a playoff spot isn’t even guaranteed. Their lead over Boston, the first team out if you will is .5 games, and really is 7.5 because the Guards won the season series.

However, if you don’t get things straightened out soon, even that lead could dwindle. And there is still plenty of baseball to be played.

We have talked about the offense lately, and since the All-Star break, a period of 34 games, the offense has scored three runs or less 19 times! And in the last 17 games, dating back to the doubleheader loss to Arizona on August 7th, they have scored four or more runs in just five games.

One huge problem has been the production of two of the team’s three best offensive players since the break.

Jose Ramirez has been, well Jose Ramirez, hitting .273 with 9 homers in that time, but prior to last night, he was in a 1 for 20 slide over the last week, and during the past 14 days, he’s 9 for 42.

Josh Naylor is batting .214 with a 703 OPS after the break. Before last night’s 13-5 win over Texas, he was in a 1 for 22 slump, and 7 for 44 over the past two weeks.

As for Kwan, who batted .352 heading into the Midsummer Classic, he’s batted just .206 with a 603 OPS since. And he’s 3 for 24 over the past week, and 7 for 47 over the past 14 days.

That means over the last seven days, that trio, without a doubt the Guardians’ best hitters, have gone 4 for 46. And with the rest of the lineup not looking like the 1999 Indians, who scored over 1000 runs, it’s no wonder the Guardians cannot score runs.

Some Guardians’ broadcasters and supporters will point out that some other good teams have struggled lately. While that’s true, over the last 50 games, Cleveland’s record is worse than all of the contenders, and actually ranks with teams like the Angels, Nationals, and Rockies.

Those are teams you shouldn’t want to be associated with.

There are still 33 games to be played, and who knows, maybe one solid game, a walkoff win, Ramirez and Naylor get hot, Kwan has a four hit night, something turns it around for the Guardians and they go on a run.

But it’s fair to be concerned. We are sure Steven Vogt and the front office are, even if they don’t show it publicly. It would be a shame if this season, which started out as so much fun, didn’t wind up with baseball in October.

Should Watson Play Saturday? We Say Yes.

Earlier before the Browns’ training camp opened, we expressed the opinion that now that the team is good, our interest in training camp and pre-season football just isn’t there.

But Cleveland being Cleveland, there is always something to talk about with the NFL team here. And the current subject is should Deshaun Watson play in the final exhibition game Saturday night against Seattle?

The reason for the rebate is all of the injuries the team has suffered on the offensive line, mostly at the two tackle spots.

Going into camp, the starting tackles were projected to be Jedrick Wills on the left side and Jack Conklin on the right side. Both are coming off injuries that required surgery, and because of them, Dawand Jones started nine games in his rookie year, so Cleveland had some built-in depth at the position.

We are sure the Browns thought Wills would be ready by the last pre-season game, while they are hoping Conklin is ready for the season opener. Even if he isn’t, Jones can start at right tackle, and the offense shouldn’t miss a beat.

Back to Watson. As we all know, the quarterback has played just 12 regular season games over the last three seasons, so without a doubt, he needs to play. Frankly, we would have played him in the opener as well, at least for a series or two.

But football guys being football guys, there is the constant fear of injuries, so the question many in the media and fans alike ask is what if Watson gets hurt because the starting tackles aren’t playing.

Our response would be neither Wills or Conklin have taken a snap in the pre-season, and what if they aren’t ready for week one against Dallas? We all know they aren’t holding Watson out of that game.

We will count on Kevin Stefanski and Ken Dorsey to keep Watson out of harm’s way against the Seahawks, because for the greater good, Watson needs to take some live snaps before the Cowboys visit on September 8th.

We will again reiterate the key to this Browns’ season is the play of Deshaun Watson. If he plays close to the way he played in Houston, the team is a Super Bowl contender. That’s why they traded for him, to have that franchise quarterback. And in his third season in Cleveland, it’s time to see that player.

The old saying that “availability is an ability” certainly applies to Watson. Since, he’s been with the Browns, he missed 11 games in his first season due to suspension, and last year, he suffered the shoulder injury which required surgery.

And in his last season with Houston, where he missed the entire season due to legal issues, and Watson hasn’t played much football over the last three seasons.

He needs to play.

We don’t know what Stefanski will do Saturday night, but we would have Watson out there for the first quarter, and maybe into the second before going to Jameis Winston.

Offensive line issues or not, the quarterback needs to be on the field.

Offense Has Replaced Rotation As Guardians’ Chief Issue

All season long, we have worried about the starting pitching of the Cleveland Guardians. Is the rotation good enough? Is it providing enough innings to protect the bullpen? Will they be able to overcome the injury to Shane Bieber and the ineffectiveness of Logan Allen and Triston McKenzie?

At this point, the rotation is what it is, a group of pitchers who hopefully can give the team an effective six innings of work and turn it over to a dominant bullpen.

Since the All-Star break, the Guardians have turned into team streak, winning five in a row, losing seven straight, followed by another five-game winning streak, and now a three-game losing skein.

Unless Matthew Boyd and Alex Cobb start pitching like Sam McDowell and Corey Kluber, this is how the Guardians’ starting pitching will be going forward. And now, Cobb is going to miss time with a broken fingernail.

However, the offense is sputtering. In April, the Guardians were a surprise with the bats, averaging 5.24 runs per game. They were still going strong in May, scoring 5.04 runs. In June, that figure dropped to 4.56 and in July, it dipped further to 3.36.

This month, that figure has improved slightly to 4.23 runs per contest, but overall, since the All-Star break, they have scored 3.76 runs/game. The team batting average is .222 (compared to .243 prior) the on base percentage is .279 (.316 before), and the slugging percentage has dropped from .405 to .368.

The hitting has become too reliant on the home run, mostly because the batting average is subpar, and no one seems to be drawing walks either. Pitchers seemed to have learned the best way to attack the Cleveland lineup is to throw a lot of changeups, and there hasn’t seemed to be adjustments.

It seems you can count the number of hits going to the opposite field on one hand over the last week. For us, it seems like it is just at bat after at bat trying to pull pitches on the outside half on the plate, resulting in weak grounders to second base and/or shortstop.

Individually, the numbers are equally ugly. The only two players who have OPS over 750 are Jose Ramirez and Jhonkensy Noel, and the latter is still striking out in roughly one-third of his at bats.

Only Josh Naylor has an OPS above 700 at 746. Every other single Guardians’ player is below 700, and the league average is 704.

Coincidentally, that trio are also the only Cleveland players with on base percentages over .300. Cleveland ranks in the bottom five in batting average, walks, and OPS since the break, and is 22nd out of 30 teams in runs scored.

They’ve been shut out four times in that span.

Simply put, you have to score runs in the regular season, and the Guardians have scored two or fewer runs in 11 of the 29 games played since the All-Star Game. Amazingly, they’ve won three of those contests.

They put up three runs in an additional five games, meaning in over half the games played after the break, they have put up three runs or less. And again, that’s a tough way to win baseball games.

Earlier, when they were scoring more runs, the team seemed to work counts and draw more walks. This is reflected in the monthly OBP as a team, which are as follows in chronological order: .321, .312, .322, .285, .286.

Perhaps playing guys who will take a walk would help. We’ve already advocated to bring back Angel Martinez, whose .306 OBP (12 walks) would rank 5th on the team if he were called back up.

This is not a team that can sit back and wait for the home run. They have to get guys on base and move them. That’s been lacking for the past six weeks or so, and if they can’t start scoring runs, it will be tough to hold off Minnesota and Kansas City.

Guards Are Winning. Doesn’t Mean There Aren’t Worries.

The Cleveland Guardians have one of the best records in baseball. It depends on the day, but there are times they are the game’s winningest team, but they are in the conversation with the New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles, Philadelphia Phillies, and Los Angeles Dodgers.

On the other hand, they are just two games ahead of Minnesota and four ahead of Kansas City in the AL Central, and the schedule is a gauntlet through the end of the year. On this trip alone they play the NL Central leaders in Milwaukee and the Yanks.

Right after Labor Day, they make their last extended road trip of the season, with visits to Kansas City and Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers.

The point is, even with all the success they have achieved this season, there is some worry as to what happens over the next six weeks.

We have been concerned about the starting pitching all season long, and although Matthew Boyd and Alex Cobb both pitched well in their last start, it’s still a worry, mostly because they simply don’t pitch enough innings.

Neither of the veterans was able to finish six innings, which isn’t a rarity for the rotation. The last time a Guardians’ starter went six innings was Gavin Williams last Saturday against the Twins, the game that broke the seven-game losing streak.

Since the All-Star break, a period of 27 games (1/6th of a season), Cleveland pitchers have completed six innings just three times. The last game a Guards’ starter went seven? The last game we could find was May 10th, when Carlos Carrasco went that long vs. the White Sox.

We know starters aren’t expected to go nine innings anymore, but pitching six shouldn’t be an anomaly. Yes, the pitching staff ranks 2nd in the AL in ERA, but the reason for that is the bullpen, and right now, Steven Vogt is down to three guys are haven’t started to leak oil–Cade Smith, Hunter Gaddis, and of course, Emmanuel Clase.

Even getting six innings consistently out of a starter is a dream right now.

The other reason for concern is the offense. While pitching wins in the playoffs, you have to score runs in the regular season, and of the teams competing for the league’s best record and in the Central Division, the Guards have scored the least amount of runs.

Right now, the Guardians have the opposite of a top to bottom lineup. Among players with over 150 plate appearances, they have four hitters with above average OPS: Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor, Steven Kwan, and David Fry.

Two of those hitters, Kwan and Fry, have been slumping since the Midsummer Classic.

Kwan had a .352 batting average and 920 OPS in the first half and had us dreaming of the first Cleveland batting champ since Bobby Avila in 1954. So far in the second half, he’s hitting .224 (.291 on base vs. .407 prior) and 646 OPS.

He seems to be hitting a lot of fly balls now, which could mean he is selling out for power? But a return to the hitter we saw before the All-Star game could be dynamic for the Guards’ offense.

Fry made the American League squad on the basis of an incredible April and May, in which he hit .352 with 8 HR and 27 RBI. Since June 1st, he’s batted .216 with 4 dingers and 15 ribbies. He still is killing lefties, with .301 average and 1047 OPS against southpaws.

He has a 666 OPS vs. RHP but continues to bat 5th when he plays.

The problem for Vogt and the organization is they don’t seem to have a lot of alternatives.

Jhonkensy Noel has provided pop, this week hitting three homers, but in the last three games, he’s 0 for 8 with six whiffs. Lane Thomas has been ineffective since coming over from Washington going 6 for 50 with 21 strikeouts.

Daniel Schneemann in the last 28 days: .156 BA and 220/200/420 splits. Will Brennan has hit since coming back from AAA, but he is what he is, basically a singles hitter that doesn’t walk (301 OBP, 391 slugging).

Can the offense find help? Can they score enough down the stretch, or will it continue to be a huge load on the bullpen?

One of the best records in baseball? Yes. That doesn’t mean there aren’t concerns.