Going Forward–Tribe Needs To Use Entire Roster

The Cleveland Indians will clinch the American League Central Division title sometime this week, but right now they look like a team running on fumes.

Several of the everyday players look to need a few days off, most notably MVP candidate Jose Ramirez, who over the last month is hitting just .172 with one home run and a 572 OPS.

Over the same time frame, Yonder Alonso is batting .187, also with a pair of dingers and a 542 OPS.

Even Francisco Lindor’s numbers have dropped off.  He has a .255 batting average and five homers, but his OPS is just 703.

Are these just slumps, or have the dog days of August set in, with the fatigue that goes with playing everyday in a summer where the temperatures have been high?

In the case of Lindor and Ramirez, both young players at 24 and 25 (for now, Ramirez turns 26 in less than a week), it could be that they are tired, both having played everyday (Lindor 141 games, Ramirez 140 out of a possible 142).

To be sure, neither player wants to sit out.  Their attitude is to go out everyday and compete, and that is a very noble thing to want to do.

However, we noticed yesterday that Erik Gonzalez has been on the 25 man roster the entire season, and has just 129 plate appearances, striking us incredibly low for someone here all season.

While Gonzalez has put up a .285 batting average and a 716 OPS to date, we feel his lack of strike zone judgment (32 strikeouts to 5 walks) would be exposed if was in the lineup more often.

Should he or a perhaps more productive utility player get more at bats during the regular season to give Lindor and Ramirez some rest to keep them fresh for the stretch drive?

We understand the Tribe was caught in a tough place with Gonzalez, as he was out of options coming into the season.  Typically, young players have a problem with a bench role, although considering his limited playing time, he has done well.

The point is it is obvious that Terry Francona isn’t comfortable putting his name in the lineup.  And it’s easier for sure to write Lindor and Ramirez on the card.

This year is a luxury, the Tribe is cruising to a post-season berth.  But what if the Twins were hot and were cutting into the lead on a weekly basis?  Having a third of your everyday players, particularly on a top heavy offense, slumping isn’t good.

On the other hand, perhaps Ramirez’ struggles are a result of being too pull happy and a little too conscious of his home run total.  Opposing teams are using extreme shifts against him, and when he came to the majors he was a player who used all fields.

Alonso’s troubles could be strictly from losing his strike zone judgment.  His walk rate is at 8.7% this season, compared to 13.1% a year ago.  And he is striking out at the highest rate of his career.

It appears the first baseman has played himself into a platoon role for the post-season, with either Yandy Diaz or Edwin Encarnacion with someone else being the designated hitter.

There are 25 men on a roster, and why not use all of them.  Especially to keep players fresh over the long six month season.

Hopefully the rest they will get after the Indians clinch will be enough for October.

MW

 

Some New Stuff, But Some Old Habits Return In Opening Browns’ Tie

Well, it wasn’t a loss.

And when you go through an 0-16 season a year ago, you should be happy with even a ray of sunshine, and that’s the best thing that can be said about the Browns’ opener today, a 21-21 tie against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

That the Browns’ defense forced six turnovers and had four sacks of Ben Roethlisberger, and still only managed a tie is disappointing the say the least.

A year after being the worst team in the NFL in turnover differential, turning the ball over a whopping 41 times compared to just 13 takeaways, the Cleveland defense was a machine in terms of taking the ball away today.

Gregg Williams’ unit has three interceptions and three fumble recoveries, and the Cleveland offense turned it over just once, which after averaging over 2.5 per game a year ago, was a welcome sight.  But more on that later.

This game was all but over with 7:49 left in the fourth quarter when the Browns were stopped on downs, trailing 21-7.

But Myles Garrett forced a fumble by James Conner, which was returned to the Steelers’ one by Jabril Peppers.  One play later, the Browns were back in the contest at 21-14.

Garrett wasn’t finished.  On the second play of the next drive, he forced another fumble during a sack of Roethlisberger, and this time Joe Schobert fell on it.

The offense didn’t convert that one, but after an exchange of punts, Tyrod Taylor hit Josh Gordon with a 17 yard touchdown pass and the game was tied.

Garrett had two sacks and two forced fumbles, rookie CB Denzel Ward had two interceptions.

Rookie Genard Avery should have won the game for the Browns by forcing another fumble late in overtime which Schobert returned inside the Pittsburgh five, and a block in the back penalty moved the ball back.

Two things which have been a Browns’ tradition did raise its ugly head.  First, after tying the game at 7 in the third quarter with a great drive running the football, the defense allowed the Steelers to score in five plays.

That cannot continue to happen.  You have to get stops after your team scores to keep momentum.

The special teams have been an issue over the years, and they were again today.  A poor punt in overtime was forced when the Steelers penetrated pushing the blocker into Britton Colquitt, and the potential game winning field goal was blocked when the Pittsburgh line dominated Zane Gonzalez’ line.

They didn’t get much out of the return game either.

As for the offense, the rap on Taylor was he was cautious about turning the football over, something the Browns needed after last season.  It seemed today like Taylor was holding the ball an inordinate amount of time, although we will excuse him today because of the weather conditions.

Let’s see how he does next week in a dome in New Orleans.

The QB did run the ball 8 times for 77 yards, making him the Browns’ leading rusher.  That’s not something we want to see going forward.

Jarvis Landry caught 7 passes for 106 yards, but it seemed like long stretches where the offense ignored him.  To be fair, they ignored Josh Gordon too, so again this might have been due to the rain.

The decision to start Desmond Harrison at left tackle should be criticized, whether it was Hue Jackson, Todd Haley, or line coach Bob Wylie.  He didn’t play with the starters in the pre-season, and looked like he wasn’t ready today.

He may have a ton of potential, but offensive line play is cohesive, and let having him with the starters in a game until today showed.  The line needs to get better, and get better as soon as next week.

So, it’s on to New Orleans, and the Saints will be fired up after losing to a perceived to be poor Tampa Bay team today.

Let’s hope there is improvement in the offense in week two.

JD

 

Things To Watch After Tribe Wraps It Up

Sometime in the next week, the Cleveland Indians will clinch the American League Central Division title, their 10th since the three division set up was established in 1994.

They will also be making their 11th post season appearance in that time frame, trailing only the powerful, big market Red Sox and Yankees in the American League.

These are heady times for baseball fans in northeast Ohio, especially when you consider this team has several of the best players who have ever worn the Indians’ uniform.

Even after the Tribe wraps up the division crown, they will be very interesting to watch through the end of the season.  Here are some things to watch–

Josh Donaldson.  The former AL MVP will return to the active roster next week in Tampa, and then the seismic position shift will begin, assuming Donaldson’s calf holds up.

When he is ready to play the field, Jose Ramirez will move to second base, and Jason Kipnis goes to centerfield.  That is, if Kipnis continues to swing the bat like he has over the last week to ten days.

If he slumps again, Terry Francona could go back to Greg Allen, who is a better defender, and has provided some timely hits since Leonys Martin fell ill.

The Bullpen.  With Cody Allen back on the beam (hopefully), who will be in the bullpen for the post-season is still up in the air.

The first order of business is getting Andrew Miller healthy and back in the mix.  We doubt he can carry the same load he did in 2016, but if he can give Francona an inning of quality relief two or three times in a series, that would be big.

Also to be determined is what other right-handers will the skipper want.  Adam Cimber should be one, because of his success vs. right-handed hitters, but will the manager really want to bring Dan Otero or Neil Ramirez into a playoff game?

Our guess is that was why veteran Jon Edwards was given a look see after striking out 56 in 39-2/3 innings at Columbus this year.

And that makes it kind of curious that Ben Taylor wasn’t brought back for another look.  The 25 year old made six appearances early in the year, and fanned 70 in 57-1/3 innings at AAA this year.

The Bench.  There won’t be a need for 13 pitchers come October, so we figure two spots on the bench will open up.

In our estimation, Francona will go with four starters and seven arms out of the bullpen, so who gets those roster spots?

If Kipnis is in CF, one spot will go to Greg Allen for his defense, and Rajai Davis will be there as a pinch runner, but will that mean Yandy Diaz makes the roster this fall?

Remember, a year ago, Diaz was bypassed in favor of Giovanny Urshela’s glove.

This year, Diaz may be in the lineup vs. left handed pitchers, replacing Yonder Alonso, who is batting .212 with a 607 OPS against southpaws.

For a team coasting into the playoffs, the 2018 Cleveland Indians have a lot of things that are unsettled.  We are sure the Tribe management would like things to crystalize in the next three weeks.

MW

Browns Have The Pressure To Win

The Cleveland Browns set their 53 man roster over the weekend, and over half of the squad was not on the roster a year ago.

That’s what happens when you go 0-16.  You weren’t very good, and so it should be pretty easy to find players that are better than those who play on a team that can’t even win a single game.

On the other hand, many people, us included, felt the Browns were better than 0-16 a year ago.  We believe the talent was on the roster to win two or three games.

Now, we understand that a 2-14 record would still be one of the NFL’s worst teams, but only two teams have ever lost every game they played, and one of them was the 2017 Cleveland Browns.

At least, they could have escaped that embarrassment.

With the roster changes and a new GM putting that roster together in John Dorsey, the pressure falls squarely on Hue Jackson.  Dorsey has gained the trust of the fans, so if the Browns get off to a poor start, the death knell will be sounding in Berea.

The coach has a veteran quarterback in Tyrod Taylor, and he specializes in not turning the ball over, a problem that plagued the team a year ago.  Cleveland coughed the ball up 41 times, 28 of them on interceptions, both totals were last in the NFL.

Jackson can no longer make excuses for rookie mistakes from his signal caller.

He also has a new play caller in Todd Haley, whose offenses in Pittsburgh have ranked in the top five in yards gained three of the last four years.

Much of that was through the air with Ben Roethlisburger at QB, but in the preseason, he emphasized the running game, something the Browns abandoned as soon as they were trailing, and at times this occurred in the first quarter.

With Carlos Hyde and Nick Chubb, teams will have to respect the run.

The one thing that concerns us is the offensive line, which the coaching staff is still tinkering with, just five days before the opener.

After moving Joel Bitonio to tackle in training camp, it has been reported that Jackson is consider moving him back to guard, and putting undrafted rookie Desmond Harrison at left tackle.  This would also move rookie Austin Corbett to center.

If this occurs, the first snap Sunday would be the first time this group ever played together.  That doesn’t seem to be an optimum situation.

As for those concerned that the “plan” was abandoned, keep in mind 27 of the 53 players on the roster have less than two years experience in the league.

There are only six players, one of them being punter Britton Colquitt, with over five years in the NFL.  And there are only three players over 30, one being Colquitt, and another being quarterback mentor Drew Stanton.

So, this is still a very young football team.

And now is the time to start seeing wins on the field.  After two seasons, where the team and its fans experience just one victory, no excuses will be tolerated.

A poor start won’t be tolerated this season.  There were some who understood the gutting of the roster in order to begin a rebuild, but even their patience is at an end.

So, there is pressure on the coaching staff to start putting some “Ws” together.  Most agree there is talent on the roster.

If the Browns get smoked Sunday in week one, the anger could start to percolate.  The pressure to win is upon the organization.

JD

The Tribe’s Giant Leap of Faith

Well, we certainly can’t say Chris Antonetti and Mike Chernoff played it safe, can we?

The Cleveland Indians’ front office took a giant leap of faith that Josh Donaldson’s injured calf will be healthy enough to get through two months in acquiring the former American League MVP just prior to the September 1st deadline.

Donaldson hasn’t played in the big leagues since May 28th, yet the Tribe management is willing to blow up the existing lineup for a player hitting .234 with a 757 OPS this season.

Ironically, Donaldson’s last two home runs for the Blue Jays came on May 3rd, at Progressive Field in a doubleheader against the Indians, hitting them off of Nick Goody in game one, and Adam Plutko in the nightcap.

In his three previous seasons, his lowest OPS was 939 in 2015, his first year in Canada, when he won the MVP, leading the AL in runs scored, runs batted in, and belted 41 home runs.

His career post-season numbers, in 31 games, are a .292 batting average, 4 home runs, 13 RBI, and an 836 OPS.  Even in the ALCS loss to the Indians in 2016, Donaldson still was 6 for 18 with a dinger.

When he is ready to play, and that’s not a given, it appears the Tribe will move Jose Ramirez to second base, and Jason Kipnis will move to the outfield for the second straight fall.

That’s a drastic departure because Terry Francona said a few weeks ago that he wasn’t going to move Ramirez to the keystone to get Yandy Diaz’ bat in the lineup.

With Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez in a bit of a tailspin, it was clear the Indians’ offense needed a boost.  Greg Allen was hot for awhile, but our fears that he still isn’t reliable were shown to be true.

That doesn’t mean Allen doesn’t have a future, because we believe he does.

The Tribe outfield defense isn’t great anyway, so it appears management will punt on it totally to get Kipnis’ recently rejuvenated bat in the lineup, with Ramirez moving to second.

When will the transition start to take place?  It is thought that Donaldson needs some more minor league at bats, so will Francona wait until Donaldson is ready to play in the majors, or will he get valuable action at their new positions for Ramirez and Kipnis.

When Kipnis is in center, our guess is he will play five or six innings, and if the Tribe has a lead, Greg Allen will take over.

It has been reported that Kipnis is not real happy about having to move to the outfield, and this is where Francona needs his greatest strength, his relationship with his players.

If Donaldson is healthy, there is no doubt his presence in the lineup makes the Tribe batting order more potent.  The offense has been top heavy all season long, with the team not getting a lot of production past the fifth spot in the order.

Donaldson’s presence lengthens the order, potentially dropping Yonder Alonso into the 6th spot, and if Kipnis keeps hitting, the lineup has some depth.

The biggest selling point Tito has is it makes the team better, and if winning is the ultimate goal in that clubhouse, this move helps.

Still, it’s a huge gamble because of Donaldson’s calf.  We have seen what Lonnie Chisenhall’s problem has done to his career over the last year, so there is no guarantee it won’t flare up on the newest Indian.

Antonetti and Chernoff have pushed all the chips to the center of the table again.  Now, the question is will their new hand be a winner?

MW

The Cody Dilemma

We are sure that Chris Antonetti and GM Mike Chernoff thought they took care of the Indians’ bullpen issues when they dealt Francisco Mejia, the organization’s best prospect, to the San Diego Padres for Brad Hand and Adam Cimber.

Both pitchers coming to Cleveland will be under control for several years, important because of the impending free agency of Andrew Miller and Cody Allen.

Since the deal, Neil Ramirez, who helped stabilize the bullpen since the end of May, went belly up, with a 7.30 ERA and five home runs allowed in 12-1/3 innings since the all star break.

When the deal was made, it was thought or hoped that Ramirez could be a bridge to the big three of Miller, Hand, and Allen, pitching in the 6th inning or perhaps earlier.  His sudden ineffectiveness ended that plan.

Allen has also struggled giving up the long ball in the second half, allowing five homers in 16-1/3 frames, compared to six allowed in 38 innings before the Midsummer Classic.

The Indians’ all time save leader is showing signs of wear and tear.  His strikeouts per nine innings is at a career low (10.5 compared to career total of 11.5).  His walk ratio is at a career high, except for his rookie year (3.9 to 3.4).

His home run ratio per nine is at 1.8, compared to 1.0 for his career.

Let us remind you that walks and home runs are the worst thing a relief pitcher can allow.

Allen looks like he could use 7-10 days off to rejuvenate from carrying a very heavy workload, as he was the only reliable option in the bullpen for awhile when Miller got hurt and before Oliver Perez arrived and Ramirez emerged.

The problem for Terry Francona is that right now he doesn’t have an alternative to Allen on the roster.

The Tribe has four right-handed relievers currently on the team:  Allen, Cimber, Dan Otero, and Josh Tomlin.  Cimber is a situational righty, a sidearmer who is solid against right handed hitters, allowing a .240 batting average.  Lefties hit .306 and have an 1.050 OPS against him.

That makes him not a viable option to pitch an entire inning most nights.

Otero has been mediocre at best this season, with his own problems with the long ball, allowing 11 circuit clouts in 49 innings.  His previous career high was seven in his last year in Oakland, 2015.

We are sure Francona does not want to bring him into a game in the late innings with a one or two run lead.  His role is to soak up innings when the Tribe is behind or in need of someone in the 5th inning or earlier.

As for Tomlin?  He’s the long/mop up man right now.

So, right now there is no alternative to using Allen, which if he does need a little time off, doesn’t help him.

With Miller going back on the disabled list with a shoulder issue, Tito may feel the need to lean on Allen even more.  With the AL Central Division all but clinched, he should be working on developing an alternative.

Either that, or the front office needs to find another relief arm before September 1st.

It seems like the bullpen story this season is one problem gets fixed and another one crops up.

MW

Does Making Contact Lead To Winning?

In the new age of baseball, striking out does not have the negative connotation it once had.

For years, the single season record for striking out in a season was 189 by Bobby Bonds in 1970.  That mark stood for 34 years, until Adam Dunn whiffed 195 times in 2004.

Dunn’s record stood for three seasons, when Philadelphia’s Ryan Howard fanned 199 times in 2007, and the next year Mark Reynolds went down swinging in 204 of his at bats.

The following year, 2009, Reynolds struck out 223 times which is the current record, although the White Sox’ Yoan Moncada could threaten that mark this season, currently sitting at 181 punch outs.

Last week, when the Indians took on the Red Sox, it was noted on one of the broadcasts that the Tribe strikes out less than anyone in the American League, and Boston ranks 4th in that category.

So, does making contact lead to winning baseball and scoring more runs?

In the AL, of the six teams contending for the five playoff spots available, the top four in making contact are among those squads.  In order they are Cleveland (950 strikeouts), Houston (989), Seattle (997), and Boston (1013).

The other two teams, New York ranks 4th from the bottom and Oakland is 6th worst in making contact.

Boston (1st), Cleveland (3rd), and Houston (4th) are among the leaders in the AL in scoring runs.  Seattle is 11th.

The Yankees and A’s lead the league in home runs, which coincides with an all or nothing approach, although the Indians are 3rd, and the Red Sox and Astros are in the top half of the Junior Circuit.

In the National League, Pittsburgh is best at making contact, but they are followed by Atlanta (leading the East), Washington (a game under .500), Chicago (leading the Central) and St. Louis (leading the Wild Card).

Playoff contenders Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Arizona, and Los Angeles are among the teams who strikeout the most, which is something to watch down the stretch.

Of the teams avoiding the “K”, the Cubs, Braves, Nationals, and Cardinals are in the top six in the NL in runs scored.

The Dodgers and Brewers lead the NL in homers, and the Phillies are 6th with their contact is secondary approach, but St. Louis is 3rd and Washington is 5th in long balls.

If you watch the Dodgers at all, you notice right away that a number of their players swing for the downs a lot.

Perhaps if a team that is more contact oriented succeeds in the playoffs again, we will start to see teams look for hitters that put the ball in play.

The Indians’ drafted players with an emphasis on a contact approach in last June’s draft.  They used Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez, two guys who developed their power a few years after beginning their professional careers, as examples.

They seem to be searching for players who have a natural ability to make contact, and then teach them how to drive the ball.  Apparently, they believe it is easier to do that than teach a guy with a high strikeout rate to make contact.

It will be interesting to watch the fates of the clubs like the Yankees, A’s, Dodgers, Brewers, and Phillies as baseball heads into the last month of the season.

If they fail in the post-season, will it signal a shift back to hitters who put the ball in play over time?  It might be a good sign for the sport going forward.

MW

 

 

Tito’s Patience Being Put To Test

One of Terry Francona’s best (and most famous) assets as a manager is his patience.  Fans simply don’t understand this.  As soon as a player has two hitless games, they are ready to try someone else.

It doesn’t work that way over the ups and downs of a 162 game, six month, Major League Baseball season.

Heck, right now, Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez are going through a down period.  Lindor is 10 for 47 during the past two weeks, and Ramirez is 4 for 22 over the last week.

No one thinks they should be replaced or platooned, they are among the best players in the game.

Every player has ups and downs during the long season, and Francona understands that, and gives players who have performed for him in the past the benefit of the doubt.

And really, that’s the way it should be.

However, sometimes Francona’s famous patience develops into stubbornness.  We are sure that’s a benefit for him in the clubhouse.  Players want to know the manager has their backs, and aren’t going to go away from them at the first sign of trouble.

Jason Kipnis and Cody Allen are two players who should have Tito thinking that it might just be time to go in a different direction.

Both have been with the Indians since the day Francona accepted the managerial job in the fall of 2012, Kipnis coming up in 2011 and Allen in ’12.

Kipnis made his first All Star team in 2013, and he and Carlos Santana were the best offensive players on the roster.  Allen led the team in appearances (yes, even more than Bryan Shaw!) as the primary set up man for Chris Perez.

Both were key players on the American League Championship team in 2016, Kipnis’ home run in Game 5 of the World Series, put away to contest that put the Tribe one game away from a world title.

Allen formed a tremendous back end of the bullpen duo with Andrew Miller, and saved six games in the post-season.

Unfortunately, Kipnis hasn’t been the same player since that World Series.  He battled injuries in ’17, and hit just .232 (.291 OBP) with a 705 OPS a year ago, and this season, his number are worse, at .218 (although he is walking more–.307 OBP) and a 654 OPS.

Remember, he played the outfield in the ALDS because the Tribe was rolling with Jose Ramirez playing second, his natural position, and the combination of Yandy Diaz and Giovanny Urshela at third.

Why not give that a look again?

As for Allen, his strikeout rate is at a career low, his walk rate and home run rate are at a career high.  He has pitched in over 67 games five consecutive years, and perhaps his arm is showing a little fatigue.

Francona leaned on him a lot early in the season when the bullpen was in shambles with Miller out.  Perhaps that’s taken it toll too.

With Allen, there aren’t really alternatives.  The only other right-handers in the ‘pen are Dan Otero and Adam Cimber, who struggles vs. left-handed hitters.

But maybe it’s time to give Allen a week to 10 days off, and see if an improvement occurs. After all, the Indians have all but put away the Central Division.  Until then, Tito has Miller and Brad Hand to close, and he has used Hand in that role since coming over from San Diego.

Patience is a virtue.  However, the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.

That’s the fine line Terry Francona sits on these days.  It’s probably not a comfortable seat.

MW

 

What Is Tito’s Second Half Secret? Mostly, It’s Pitching

Someday, maybe when Terry Francona accepts his plaque going into baseball’s Hall of Fame, he can explain why his teams get better in the second half of the season.

Since Tito took over the Indians in 2013, his teams have played at a .532 winning percentage (291-256) before the All Star Game, but a torrid .610 pace (236-151) after the Midsummer Classic.

Here is the tale season by season–

Pre All Star       Post All Star
2013                           51-44                  41-26
2014                           47-47                  38-30
2015                           42-46                  39-34
2016                           52-36                  42-31
2017                           47-40                  55-20
2018 to date             52-43                   21-10

Sometimes, it’s because the roster has been reinforced, such as 2016, when the front office traded for Andrew Miller at the trade deadline, and then added Coco Crisp at the end of August.

One thing that does stand out is the staff ERA for the pitching staff.  Check out these figures since Francona took over the Tribe–

Pre All Star      Post All Star
2013                             4.31                    3.13
2014                             3.98                    3.03
2015                             3.80                    3.53
2016                             3.65                    4.11
2017                             3.78                    2.76
2018 to date               4.00                    3.10

Only in 2016, the season in which the Indians went to the seventh game of the World Series, was the staff ERA not significantly less than it was in the first half of the season.  In four of the seasons (including this one), the pitchers are yielding around a run less per game.

In 2013, Ubaldo Jimenez became unhittable down the stretch, and Scott Kazmir got his legs after coming back from a year outside the big leagues.  Early in that season, Francona was using Vinnie Pestano as his set up man, and he proved to be ineffective.  By the end of the year, Bryan Shaw and Cody Allen were in that role.

And Pestano was traded for Mike Clevinger.

The 2014 team saw the emergence in the second half of Carlos Carrasco, and T.J. House pitched great down the stretch.  John Axford started the year as the closer, but he struggled and Allen took over the role, which solidified the entire bullpen.

That team fell three games short of getting in the Wild Card game.

In 2015, the pitching wasn’t significantly different in the second  half, but they did get Josh Tomlin back from Tommy John surgery to make 10 very good starts (3.02 ERA) and Cody Anderson pitched well too.

Early in that season, the Tribe had Shaun Marcum (6 starts) and Bruce Chen (2) making starts.  House started the year in the rotation based on his ’14 campaign, but started having arm problems.

The following year is the one season the bullpen ERA went up, and that was after adding Andrew Miller in mid-season deal.  Mike Clevinger (rookie) and Cody Anderson (arm trouble) had to make 19 starts and had an ERA approaching 6.00 combined.

Last year, the second half was the time Trevor Bauer put it all together to become a dominant starter.  Clevinger also joined the rotation full time and had a 3.11 ERA.  In relief, Tyler Olson threw 20 scoreless innings.

This year’s improvement is due to an improved bullpen.  Getting Brad Hand and Adam Cimber from San Diego, and Miller’s return from the disabled list helped a relief corps that was dismal in the first half.

Carlos Carrasco has had a better second half after he pitched below his standard before the All Star Game.

Sometimes a change in the lineup causes a surge too.  In ’15, Frankie Lindor arrived and hit .313 after being called up.  In ’16, Jose Ramirez settled in at 3B after beginning the year as a utility player.

But, by and large, it’s the pitching that makes the quantum leap.  The organization’s development of the talent available can’t be appreciated enough.

MW

 

Looking At MVP Candidacy Of Ramirez, Lindor.

The Indians and Red Sox are playing a four game series in Fenway Park this week, which is a matchup of two teams who will be playing in October.

However, a secondary battle will be going on, with four big time candidates for the American League MVP on the field, Boston’s Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez, and the Indians’ Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor.

The quartet are all in the league leaders in WAR, as well as ranking high in all of the traditional statistics too.  Betts currently leads in WAR at 8.3, with Ramirez 3rd, Lindor 4th, and Martinez 8th.

In terms of offensive WAR, Ramirez is 2nd, Betts 3rd, Martinez 4th, and Lindor 6th.  Betts is regarded as the best defensive rightfielder in the sport, but Lindor actually has a higher defensive WAR because he plays a more important defensive position.

In runs created, the four rank in the top five in the AL.

We aren’t going to comment on the two Boston players candidacy, but needless to say, both are great players and would be worthy winners of the MVP.  But we think the two Indians have a better case, and here’s why.

The Tribe is third in the American League in runs scored despite no one besides Ramirez and Lindor having an OPS over 850 among players with over 100 at bats.  Michael Brantley, having a solid season, is third in this statistic at 823 currently.

By contrast, two other Red Sox are over that figure–Xander Bogaerts at 875 and Andrew Benintendi at 877.  Boston leads the AL in runs scored, and you can see why with four outstanding hitters in their lineup every day.

We have been saying this all season long, but the Cleveland attack is very often dependent on the two players manning the left side of their infield.

Really, who else is contributing on an every day basis offensively?

Edwin Encarnacion has dropped off from a year ago, his batting average down almost 30 points, his on base percentage down 60 points.  Over the last month, we have seen opposing teams pitching around Ramirez in key situations to get to the veteran slugger.

Yonder Alonso has done well in maintaining the power spike he had a year ago, already setting a career high in RBIs with 70, but he hasn’t had as good a season as Carlos Santana had with Cleveland a year ago.

Yan Gomes has slumped after the All Star break, so Terry Francona isn’t really getting good hitting out of centerfield, catcher, rightfield, and second base.  That’s almost half of the batting order.

Yet, the Tribe is scoring more runs than anyone in the Junior Circuit save for Boston and New York.  That’s how valuable the duo of Ramirez and Lindor have been.

And it hasn’t been just this season either.  Ramirez, of course, finished third in the voting a year ago, and Lindor has finished in the top ten the past two seasons, 9th in 2016 and 5th last season.

We also have to remind everyone again, that Ramirez won’t turn 26 years old until next month, and Lindor won’t be 25 until November.  They are still getting better folks.

Right now, Betts has the WAR lead, and that goes a big way in determining the MVP, and we understand that.  But if the word “valuable” is considered, keep in mind that the Indians’ offense is being carried by the duo of Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor.

That’s our case for both of them.

MW