Tribe Slump Needs To End Quick

When you are in a pennant race, and the Cleveland Indians are in one, if you have a slump, it cannot last very long.

That’s why the Indians need to stem the tide right away.  They’ve now lost seven of their last nine games, and where they led the AL Central Division by a half game after a win over the Red Sox on August 13th, they are now three and a half games behind the Twins.

After that win, they had a two and a half game edge on Tampa Bay and a four and a half game bulge on Oakland, who would have been the first team out of the playoffs.

Today, they are on the outside looking in, a half game behind the Rays and A’s.  That’s what happens when you have a bad week in a race for a playoff spot.  What was once a comfortable lead, is now down to nail biting levels.

Now, Tampa Bay and Oakland are capable of having bad weeks too, but that’s their problem.  The Indians have to pull them out of this themselves.

There are several issues at play here.

First, the offense was supposed to be bolstered with the acquisitions of Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes at the trade deadline, but the runs scored has dropped from 5.91 runs per game in July to 4.8 in August, and the latter figure includes the 19 run outburst in the first game at Yankee Stadium, otherwise they are scoring just 4.1 runs per game.

Roberto Perez has slumped at the plate, but his defense and handling of the staff is so valuable, he has to be in the lineup.

No doubt the Tribe misses Jordan Luplow vs. lefties, and the offense has become home run or bust recently.  To us, it seems the patience at the plate has been lost, especially with runners in scoring position.

And quite frankly, to this point, Reyes hasn’t helped, hitting .154 with 26 strikeouts in 71 plate appearances.

The pitching has held up pretty well, even after the trade of Trevor Bauer.  Cleveland allowed 4.27 runs in June, when they started playing well, 3.13 runs in July, and 3.81 runs in August, despite playing the high powered offenses of the Twins, Red Sox, and Yankees.

The team looks a little tired too.  Coming from 11.5 games out to hold the lead in the division (at least for a day), took a toll, and with Terry Francona wanting an eight man bullpen, it doesn’t allow a rest for the non-platoon players, like Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, and Carlos Santana.

We feel the weariness is part of the reason for the sloppy play defensively over the past week.

Yes, the Indians have a home stand against the Royals this weekend and then go to the Detroit for another troika of games, but Tampa Bay follows that, and then a home set with the White Sox, who have been tough on the Indians.

It’s was inevitable that the Tribe cooled off after being so hot in June and July.  If they would have played .500 ball over a 20 game stretch, that would have been fine, but if you are going to lose seven of nine, you have to respond with a winning streak.

That’s the new challenge for the 2019 edition of the Cleveland Indians.

MW

 

It’s A Pennant Race For Tribe, But Relax

It’s late August, and the Cleveland Indians are in a pennant race.

Actually, they are in two races.  Most importantly, the AL Central Division is up for grabs, with the Minnesota Twins having a 2-1/2 game lead over the Tribe with 37 games left to play.

The two teams have six more games with each other, with an equal split between Cleveland and Minneapolis.

The Indians also are involved in a race for the wild card berths.  They hold the top spot right now (meaning they would host the game) and lead Oakland by 2-1/2 games and Boston by eight in those standings.

We understand scoreboard watching is fun and it is interesting to see how Minnesota, Tampa Bay, Oakland, and Boston are doing on a daily basis, but we would caution it is too early to be overly concerned.

Why?  Because there is a long way to go.  And despite what some people think, none of the other teams are going to go 37-0 from here on out.  All five teams, including the Indians are going to lose games.

The old adage is true.  These teams want to just keep winning series.  They can’t afford to panic losing games.  Heck, before Sunday’s win against the Yankees, the Indians had just lost four of five.

Yeah, they went from a half game up to 2-1/2 down, but they are well within striking distance.

A good week for the Indians and a bad week for the Twins would put Terry Francona’s squad right back into first place.

Of course, this is all based on the Indians continuing to pile up victories, and after this week’s series with the Mets, 10 of the next 13 games for the Tribe are against the Royals, Tigers, and White Sox.

Likely, the final standings will come down to can the Twins dominate the Royals and Tigers like the Indians did, and can the Tribe improve their performance against the White Sox.

Cleveland has won 12 of 13 games vs. Detroit and won 10 of the last 13 against Kansas City.  To date, the Twins are 6-3 vs. Detroit and 9-3 against the Royals.

However, the Indians have struggled vs. Chicago so far, losing seven of 12, where as Minnesota is 7-3 in contests with the Pale Hose.

For the Tribe, it could come down to how many times they see Lucas Giolito, and how they fare against him.  He has dominated Cleveland in his two starts in 2019, while the Twins knocked him around when they faced him in late July.

Regardless, they have to improve their performance against Chicago.  To be fair, they haven’t played the Sox since the offense started putting up more runs.

It’s been awhile since there has been an honest to goodness pennant race in Cleveland, so obsessing about the standings on a day by day basis isn’t healthy.

Until the two teams meet at Target Field on September 6th-8th, look at where the Tribe is on a weekly basis, that is as long as the Indians are winning.  A losing streak is cause for concern for sure, but if the Indians keep winning series, they will be fine.

And it could be one of those years where winning 95 games doesn’t win the division.  That’s the way it goes sometimes.

MW

How Tribe Can Keep Lindor And Still Win

We have maintained for awhile now that the Cleveland Indians should most definitely get a long term contract done with Francisco Lindor, and the money shouldn’t be an object.

We understand it will take a major financial commitment to keep the All Star shortstop, with the Tribe having to pay him over $30 million per year.

One of the arguments we hear against this is teams can’t devote a large percentage of their payroll to one player and remain competitive, particularly if they are not a large market franchise.

We feel there are exceptions to every “rule”, and Lindor should be that exception.

Besides, it can done if your front office is smart, and you continue to develop your farm system.

Two contracts are always brought up in this regard.

The first is Joey Votto’s 10-year, $225 million deal with the Reds, signed in 2013.  Votto was entering his 29-year-old season that year, and has given Cincinnati five very good to excellent years to this point, although at 35, he is showing signs of age this year.

Cincinnati hasn’t been over .500 since ’13, but that is hardly Votto’s fault.

You could make a very good and valid point, that the problem was the organization having a $50 million commitment to 32-year-old Brandon Phillips, and giving $56 million to Homer Bailey, who was injured and terrible over the next five seasons.

Those are mistakes you cannot mistake if you want to win.

Their farm system has ranked between 11th and 14th (MinorLeagueBall.com ranking) since the contract was signed, and the only young position player making an impact was catcher Devon Mesoraco.  All the other regulars were 26-32.

Their top prospect was Billy Hamilton, who flamed out, but by 2016, they added Eugenio Suarez (from the Tigers in a trade) and Tucker Barnhart.  And they didn’t add a solid pitching prospect until they added Luis Castillo in a deal with the Marlins in 2017.

Another example pointed out is look at the Angels with Mike Trout, who has unfortunately made the post-season once in his eight years with Los Angeles.

Of course, the Angels have the Albert Pujols albatross contract, but they’ve made some questionable big money signings too.

They paid Ricky Nolasco $12 million for the two seasons, and in 2018, gave Zack Cozart, who had one good season in his career, a three year, $38 million deal.

If you are going to pay a superstar big money, you can’t pay mediocre players substantial bucks, or it does hamstring your franchise.

The Angels’ farm system is on the rise, thanks to Jo Adell, but they ranked between 28th and 30th from 2015 to 2017, before moving up to 20th last season.

As for the Indians, the farm system has ranked 21st in 2015, then 13th in ’16, 10th in ’17, and 15th last season.  By most accounts, following the deadline deal which brought Logan Allen, along with the development of players in the low minors, Cleveland has a top ten system.

This is important because it keeps bringing low cost talent on to the big league roster.  And if those players can make a solid contribution, like Aaron Civale and Oscar Mercado, it allows you to keep a high priced player like Lindor.

As for not getting involved with bad contracts, Jason Kipnis’ deal is over after this season (Cleveland will not pick up the option), and Corey Kluber’s and Carlos Santana’s end after 2021.

The only “star” player who will be eligible for arbitration by then is Mike Clevinger.

This gives the Indians plenty of payroll flexibility providing they don’t go out and overspend on a young player or potential free agent.  History says they will not do that, they have proven to be very smart is this regard.

But you can’t ignore player development and this includes trading solid prospects for borderline players in a pennant race.

The blueprint is there to keep Lindor and still be a competitive franchise while paying him big money.  It’s not impossible, you just have to be very prudent.

MW

Today’s Baseball From An “Old Guy” Perspective

We were discussing the Indians’ recent winning streak with a group of friends the other night, and the talk turned to the state of baseball in general and how different the game is now than when we were growing up.

Now, before you go further, without giving away our ages, we remember when the Tribe wore the vested uniforms with the red shirts underneath, and the strength of the team was the starting rotation of Sam McDowell, Sonny Siebert, and Luis Tiant.

True confession, we aren’t “get off my lawn” guys either.  In fact, several of us knew about OPS and sabermetrics for over 30 years, and respect that view of the game.

The chat started with RBIs, which has been reduced in value as a statistic in today’s game along with batting average, and the lack of “RBI men” in today’s game.

We didn’t know who even led the league in ribbies right now, because no one talks about it.  It’s all about OPS and slugging percentage, etc.

(The current leader is Pittsburgh’s Josh Bell with 98, followed by Freddie Freeman and Eduardo Escobar with 96.  Rafael Devers, who tortured the Tribe this week, leads the AL with 94).

We know people think now that runs batted in is a product of getting more opportunities to do so, but we watched Manny Ramirez drive in 165, the most by anyone in the big leagues since 1938.

Yes, yes, Ramirez batted behind Kenny Lofton, Omar Vizquel, and Roberto Alomar, who got on base a ton.

But Ramirez put the ball in play a lot of times to knock in runs with ground balls, fly balls, and base hits.  He did hit for a .333 average that season.

We recently read that five worst home run to RBI ratios all time are held by active players.  That comes from the notion now that strikeouts are fine, and putting the ball in play with a runner on third with less than two out is passe.

We still consider guys who hit for a high batting average very good hitters.  Heck, we had one with the Indians for the past few years, and Michael Brantley ranks 5th in MLB in that stat at .328.  But, those guys get overlooked because they don’t walk enough.

A similar case can be made for the Mets’ Jeff McNeil, who didn’t get to the bigs until he was 26 despite a .311 batting average in the minors, because he didn’t walk or drive the ball.

We commented that the Red Sox lineup is relentless because they have put together a lineup where everyone, save for CF Jackie Bradley Jr., hits .280 or better.

By contrast, the Tribe’s lineup has improved, but Terry Francona can only put three such players in his batting order:  Frankie Lindor, Carlos Santana, and Tyler Naquin.

The Indians have put a premium on contact in the past few drafts, looking for players who are hitters first, and figuring they can teach driving the ball, much like Lindor and Jose Ramirez.

The problem in our eyes is the number of hitters who swing for the fences that probably shouldn’t be.  A player like Rougned Odor with Texas comes to mind.

Odor has belted 69 homers since the beginning of the 2017 season, but has hit .204 in ’17 and currently this season.  Wouldn’t he be a better player for the Rangers hitting less home runs and getting on base more often?  He has a lifetime .292 on base percentage.

The game has changed for sure, but we aren’t sure it’s for the better.  Striking out used to be embarrassing.  Maybe it should be again.

MW

 

 

 

Cavs “Greatest 8” After 50 Years

The Cleveland Cavaliers will be celebrating their 50th season this season and it is the only franchise in town where we can say we have been there since the beginning.

Before that, NBA basketball in Cleveland was limited to the visits the Cincinnati Royals made each year to our fair city.

In the last year before the Cavs existed, the Royals made four stops at the Cleveland Arena, the final game was played on February 3, 1970, a game won by the Los Angeles Lakers, 124-114.

Jerry West led the way for the Lakers with 38 points, while Tom Van Arsdale had 36 for the Royals.

The Cavaliers entered the league at the same time as the Buffalo Braves and Portland Trailblazers.  The league probably thought they were doing the expansion teams a solid by scheduling them for 12 games each against each other.

Obviously, LeBron James is the greatest player ever to wear the Cavs’ uniform, leading the franchise to not only their only championship, but was also the focal point for all five Eastern Conference titles won by the team.

Depending on your point of view, he is one of the three best players to ever play in the NBA.

As soon as he retires, his #23 will hang from the rafters, and we would presume a statue will be erected outside Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse.

Who else would be on the Cavaliers’ top eight players (starters and first subs) in franchise history?

We would start with the only other Cavalier besides James to achieve first team all NBA honors, and that would be Mark Price.

Price is still 5th in all time scoring and 2nd in assists and steals in club history.  In addition to his first team All-NBA accolade (1992-93), he was third team three times (’88-’89, ’91-’92, and ’93-’94).  He was on the second Cleveland team to lose in the Eastern Conference finals.

Kyrie Irving would be the other guard.  It’s really a no brainer to add the four time (with Cleveland) all-star and the guy who made the biggest shot in franchise history.  He also was third team All-NBA in 2014-15.

The center was so close we kept two as both Brad Daugherty and Zydrunas Ilgauskas make our “Great 8”.

Both had major injury problems throughout their career (Daugherty’s back issues caused him to retire at 28, while Ilgauskas battled foot problems), but Daugherty was a four time all star and is still 3rd all time in scoring and rebounding, and as a center, is 7th all time in assists.

Ilgauskas is a distant second to James in scoring, and also ranks as the runner-up in games played and rebounding.  And he was a starter on the franchise’s first trip to the NBA Finals.

The other forwards, besides James, were mainstays on the early 90’s teams which couldn’t get over the Michael Jordan hurdle:  Larry Nance and Hot Rod Williams.

Looking at numbers, you forgot how good Williams was.  He ranks 5th in games played, 7th in points, 5th in rebounds, and 2nd in blocked shots in Cavalier history.  He was a reserve mostly because Lenny Wilkens loved him as a weapon off the bench, backing up both Daugherty and Nance, and at times playing with them.

Nance is 9th all time in scoring, 8th in boards, 3rd in field goal percentage and blocked shots.  He was the final piece in making those teams title contenders.  The Cavs were 42-40 the year Nance arrived in a mid-season trade, they won 50 games in three of the next five years.

The last spot on our list goes to franchise icon Austin Carr, whose career was hampered by knee injuries, but was the team’s first star.

Carr was the first overall pick in the draft in 1971, and made the All Star team in his third year with a 21.9 scoring average.  He was around 24 PPG the following season when he injured his knee, and became a valuable reserve for the Cavs’ first team that went to the conference finals in 1976.

Those are our Cavs’ “Greatest 8”.  The best players Cleveland basketball fans have seen wearing the wine and gold.

MW

 

 

Revivals And Rookies Key Tribe Hot Streak

No matter when you think it started, there is no question the Cleveland Indians have been blistering hot for over two months to climb back into the American League Central Division race.

We like to point to May 28th, when the Tribe was trailing Boston in the ninth inning 5-2, heading to their 8th loss in nine games, when they rallied for five runs and won 7-5.  Cleveland is 43-20 since.

Others point to the first game after the White Sox series, where they lost three of four.  Looking at a homestand where they were playing the Twins, Yankees, and Reds, they took two of three vs. first place Minnesota.  They are 41-17 in that span.

It doesn’t matter what date you start, there is no question the revival can be traced to the renaissance of some veteran players and the emergence of some rookies.

Oscar Mercado made his major league debut on May 14th after a strong spring training and great start in AAA.  He hit his first home run on May 26th, and became an everyday player when the team went to Boston, which was the 27th.

The rook is currently in a 2 for 18 slide, which happens to rookies, but overall has hit .277 (768 OPS) and has fit nicely into the #2 hole in the lineup between Francisco Lindor and Carlos Santana.

This is a gigantic upgrade from the 619 OPS they were getting from Leonys Martin.

Zach Plesac made his major league debut that turn around game in Boston, and has proved to be a reliable starter since, going 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA.

He’s allowed more than three runs just three times in 13 starts, and one of those resulted in a win vs. Houston.  He pitched at least five innings in 11 of those appearances, and one of those was because of a rain delay situation.

While Mercado helped the offense, the hitting still needed help and a couple of veterans got it going.

Jason Kipnis, who on June 6th was hitting .206 with a 565 OPS, starting hitting like he did in 2016.  Since June 1st, he’s hit .281 with 9 home runs and 43 RBI.

That helped lengthen the lineup.

It also was helped when a player who has finished in the top three in the MVP voting the past two seasons, emerged from a slump that dated back to mid August of 2018.

On June 12th, Jose Ramirez was batting .198 with a 586 OPS.  Since then, Ramirez has played like one of the best hitters in the game, batting .319 with 12 HR and 43 RBI.

His revival has made a huge difference and with the deal that brought Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes to Cleveland at the deadline, the Indians should have an offense which measures up to the other contenders in the American League.

Another rookie, Aaron Civale, has given Terry Francona and his staff two solid starts and will be counted on to do the same until Corey Kluber, who should return to the rotation by the end of the month, is ready.

And let’s not overlook the contributions of Nick Goody (1.30 ERA), the OF platoon of Tyler Naquin and Jordan Luplow, and Greg Allen (.293).

A team needs the contributions of many to be this hot for this long.  The Indians have had that and will continue to need it over the last month and a half of this season.

Overcoming an 11.5 game lead to tie for the division lead is one thing.  But you have to finish the job and they are still 45 games remaining.

If the rookies can keep performing and Kipnis and Ramirez can stay hot, the AL Central title can be achieved.

MW

Does Kitchens Have The Right Experience? Let’s Wait And See

Without a doubt, there is a lot of buzz surrounding the Cleveland Browns this season, for the first time in a long time.

While some point to the last seven games of the 2018 season, where the brown and orange went 5-2, others point out those wins didn’t come against anyone with a winning record.

And although some people like the hire of Freddie Kitchens as head coach, citing what he did with the offense last year when he took over as offensive coordinator, other feel having a half season under his belt in that job make him ill-equipped to handle his new gig.

The truth is no one knows what kind of head coach Kitchens will be, although he impressed GM John Dorsey enough to give him the job, which should count for something.

We also feel having a structure where the head coach reports to the general manager, so that makes them work together, and there is no sniping to the owner about the other person, is a breath of fresh air in Berea, and that also bodes well for the franchise.

But unlike some in the media, who hold Kitchens’ lack of experience against him and therefore are waiting for him to make mistakes to prove their point, we take an opposite tact.

We always take an optimistic view of new coaches, preferring to wait for them to show us they can’t handle the job before being critical.

Let’s face it, the great coaches in the NFL come from all different backgrounds, so there is really no way to judge any of them until the games start for real.

Heck, Hue Jackson was considered a “hot” coordinator when Jimmy Haslam hired him prior to the 2016 season, and no one can debate he was an abject failure in his tenure in Cleveland.

The coach everyone is trying to duplicate, Sean McVay, was in charge of the offense in Washington, and in his last season, the team had the third ranked offense in the NFL.

The other two years he was in charge?  They ranked 13th and 17th.

John Harbaugh, who does a magnificent job getting the most out of his talent with the Baltimore Ravens (it pains us to say it), was a special teams coordinator for nine years with the Eagles and spent another year as a defensive backs coach before landing the job in Baltimore.

On the other hand, the coordinators for winning teams, squads that have made deep runs in the playoffs have failed as much, if not more, than they have succeeded.

Gus Bradley is a recent example.  He was the defensive coordinator of the “Legion of Boom” in Seattle, but went 14-48 with the Jacksonville Jaguars.  He’s back in the coordinator pool with the Chargers.

Being a lead assistant is a lot different than having all of the responsibility on your head.  Some guys are cut out for the job as head coach, others are better suited to be assistants.  There’s nothing wrong with that.

As for Freddie Kitchens?  We won’t know until the games kick off for real on September 8th.  We understand every Browns’ fan is excited about this season, but reserve judgment on the head coach until a few games have been actually played.

MW

Developing Starters Is The Tribe’s Business

Over the past decade, the Cleveland Indians have been in the pitching development business.

When the Dolan family bought the team, they promised to make pitching a priority.  After all, the slugging Tribe teams of the 90’s got to two World Series, but didn’t win.

That championship drought is currently at 71 years, but you can’t blame in on the pitching staffs Cleveland has put together.

In 2012, the last season in which Terry Francona was not managing the Indians, they finished 14th, second to last, in ERA.

That is also the last season the franchise has ranked in the bottom half of the American League in that statistic.

Since then, here are the rankings–

2013:  7th
2014:  5th
2015:  2nd
2016:  2nd
2017:  1st
2018:  4th
2019:  3rd

All the while playing half of their games in one of the better hitter’s parks in Major League Baseball.

It’s a tribute to the player development staff, because many of the cast and characters who have contributed to the success of the team did not arrive in Cleveland as “can’t miss” prospects.

Corey Kluber was a 4th round pick by San Diego, but wasn’t regarded as a top prospect when traded to Cleveland in 2010.  Two Cy Young Awards and five consecutive 200 inning seasons, and his work ethic are testament to the pitcher he has become.

And he isn’t the only success story.

Carlos Carrasco was a highly regarded prospect when dealt to the Indians in 2009, but struggled to stay in the bigs until 2011, when he needed Tommy John surgery just as he looked to be turning a corner.

When he returned from that injury, he couldn’t find any consistency until the coaching staff put him in the bullpen to regain his confidence.

He has been one of the most reliable, if not unheralded, starting pitchers in baseball since, winning 35 games in 2017-18.

Mike Clevinger was another 4th round pick, in 2011 by the Los Angeles Angels.  However, he pitched in just 14 games in his first three years of professional ball, another victim of elbow surgery.

When the Indians traded for him in 2014 (for Vinnie Pestano), he was struggling with a 5.37 ERA in the Class A California League, although he was striking out over a batter per inning.

He turned the corner the following year with a 2.73 ERA at Akron, and has a 3.33 career ERA now since his big league debut in 2016.

Shane Bieber was the Indians’ 4th round (common thread, eh?) pick in 2016, and quickly moved through the farm system, arriving last season, and this year has emerged as one of the AL’s best pitchers, and was the All Star Game MVP.

Certainly, the work put in by these guys played a huge role as well, and you can’t ignore the recently traded Trevor Bauer’s effort either.

This comes into play because the Indians will depend on two more products of the system to carry them until Kluber returns.

Aaron Civale was a 3rd round pick in ’16, and has made one big league start (six shutout innings vs. Detroit).

This year in 13 minor league starts at Akron (2.67 ERA) and Columbus (2.13 ERA) he has fanned 70 hitters in 72-2/3 innings, walking just 15, similar numbers to what Bieber did last year (77 strikeouts, 7 walks in 79-2/3 frames).

Adam Plutko made his first appearance in the bigs in ’17, and although he is prone to the home run ball (15 allowed in 59-1/3 innings), he has kept his team in the game for the most part.

As a starter, he is 4-2 with a 4.12 ERA this season.

The organization needs Civale and Plutko to jump in and have similar success as Bieber did a year ago to help get this group of Indians to the post-season.

The success of these two and Zach Plesac (12th round pick in 2016) will go along way toward where the 2019 Cleveland Indians will wind up.

Player development indeed.

MW

Many Seasons Within A Season For The Tribe.

It is difficult to believe the major league baseball season is 2/3rds over, but it is.

And for the Cleveland Indians, it has kind of been several seasons wrapped into one, and the last third of the 2019 season will probably look like a different one as well.

Here is how the Tribe has stacked up breaking down the campaign so far into 27 game (1/6th of the season) segments:

First 27 games:  15-12
Games 28-54:     12-15
Games 55-81:     17-10
Games 82-108:   19-8

It is clear that Terry Francona’s club has gotten better as the season has progressed, and there is no doubt the roster is very much different than it was on Opening Day in Minnesota.

The beginning of the year had Francona playing Eric Stamets, who was recently designated for assignment, at shortstop with Francisco Lindor injured.  Mike Clevinger made two starts and pulled a muscle in his shoulder/back.   Leonys Martin was in centerfield, and by the end of that stretch, Carlos Gonzalez was getting everyday playing time.

Thankfully, Carlos Santana started strong and provided pretty much the only hot hitting the Indians had.

On May 1st, Corey Kluber, a 20 game winner last season, suffered a broken arm when hit with a line drive.

The 54th game of the season (May 28th) was the beginning of the turn around.  Trailing 5-2 in the ninth at Boston, facing a fourth straight loss, and their eighth loss in nine games, the Indians rallied for five runs in the ninth.  A Greg Allen two run homer tied it, and Jordan Luplow’s double provided the difference in the contest.

Since then, the Indians are 36-18.

Jose Ramirez had two hits that night and started showing signs of emerging from his slump, which started in mid August 2018.

Oscar Mercado was called up earlier in May, and was working his way into the everyday starting lineup.  Roberto Perez hit his 7th homer to lead off the ninth.  He has belted 12 more since that day.

Still, Cleveland lost three of four in Chicago after leaving Boston.  Then, Carlos Carrasco couldn’t make a start in the second game of a series at home against the front-running Twins because of illness.

The Indians unified behind the pitcher and started winning ballgames.  And a lot of them.

Yes, the schedule was soft, many games against the lower echelon teams in the American League (Tigers, Royals, Orioles, and Blue Jays), but the Tribe did win the series against Minnesota and followed that with the same against the Yankees.

They also won three of four against Cincinnati.

Tyler Naquin and Jordan Luplow have formed a solid platoon in the outfield, Jason Kipnis showed life at the plate and Ramirez got hot, giving the Indians a passable offense.

Clevinger returned, Shane Bieber emerged and made the All Star Game (where he was MVP) and they teamed with Trevor Bauer to make a solid “Big Three”.

At the trading deadline, the Indians transformed from a pitching based team to a formidable offense when they traded Bauer in a three team deal and received Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes.

Suddenly, the Tribe has a solid batting order.

The last third of the season will provide the answer to several questions:

Will the production of the lineup match the potential?

Will the Indians have enough starting pitching with the trade of Bauer?

Can Ramirez’ recent revival at the plate continue?

Will the bullpen hold up, and will reinforcements from the farm system be coming soon?

If these questions are answered positively, a fourth consecutive division title can be achieved.   And the rare rebuild while contending may just have been pulled off.

MW

 

Tribe Is A Different Team, Are They Better?

The Cleveland Indians were involved in a blockbuster trade Tuesday night, trading starter Trevor Bauer to Cincinnati in the three team deal that netted the Tribe slugging outfielders Yasiel Puig, Franmil Reyes, left handed prospect Logan Allen, and two lower level prospects.

Certainly, president Chris Antonetti and GM Mike Chernoff addressed the club’s offensive issues, the Indians rank 10th in the AL in runs scored.  It was needed to keep the team in the playoff race.

The question is did they damage the club’s biggest strength, the starting rotation.

During the winter, we advocated for trading a starting pitcher because of the rotation depth, but at that time, Corey Kluber and Carlos Carrasco were healthy, and you had five above average starters.

While we understand Bauer wasn’t having the same success he had a year ago, he still is one of the league’s better pitchers, and there was a certain comfort of knowing when he went to the mound, and the same can be said about Mike Clevinger and Shane Bieber, Cleveland has a pretty good chance of winning.

Now, instead of three nights out of five with that feeling, you are down to two.

This isn’t to denigrate Zach Plesac, who has made just 12 big league starts, and has pitched pretty well, but he doesn’t have the experience or the track record to garner that confidence.

As for the other two spots, right now they are being filled by Adam Plutko, who is a really a hit or miss proposition at this point, and Danny Salazar, who hasn’t pitched in a big league game since 2017.

And as for the return of Corey Kluber from his broken arm, remember, he wasn’t pitching well when he got hurt, and he will have missed three and a half months by the time he returns.

If anyone knows how he will perform when he gets back, please send us the winning numbers for the next Mega Millions drawing.

Yes, the Indians will score more runs, but the fear is instead of losing 2-0 against good teams, they will now lose 7-5.

Could the Tribe have updated the offense without giving up Bauer, possibly by getting a couple of rentals, which by the way, Puig is?  We will never now.

Allen is a top 100 prospect in the game, but he has struggled in the majors with San Diego and at AAA this season, so it is doubtful he will help the big league club in 2019.

We are all for trading from a strength, but we didn’t feel the Indians had an excess of starting pitchers, not with the injury to Kluber and Carlos Carrasco’s illness.

Perhaps we’d feel differently if the Indians’ upgraded the bullpen, but they didn’t, so we don’t think Terry Francona can lean on his relievers to make up for the absence of Bauer.

Remember, Bauer’s ability to throw around 120 pitches per start helped protect the bullpen, and there is no one who will take over in the rotation who is capable of that.

Did this trade make the Indians a better team than they were on Monday?  We can’t be certain.

The Tribe is better offensively, but their rotation isn’t as deep, and their bullpen isn’t any better, and that’s a big factor.

For the Indians to overtake Minnesota or win a wild card berth, the key will be how well the starting pitching is.  If Plesac can continue his strong rookie season, if Salazar can show a glimpse of the pitcher he was in 2013-mid 2016, if Kluber can return to his Cy Young form.

As we well now, that word, “if” might be the biggest word there is.

MW